Another top Saturday of LIVE ITV Racing and it’s jumping action all the way!
At Wetherby, the Grade Two bet365 Charlie Hall Chase is their main event, while at Ascot the competitive Sodexo Live! Gold Cup Handicap Chase is always a competitive affair to unravel – but it could pay to note this is a race the Gary Moore yard have won three times since 2016.
Did you know? 15 of the last 23 Charlie Hall Chase winners were aged 8 or older.
To help, Andy Newton is on hand for SUREWIN with all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races (Saturday, 31st October 2026) – use these stats to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.
Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkyRacing)
1.25 – Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f ITV4
13/13 – Aged 7 or younger
11/13 – Aged 6 or 7
11/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Irish bred
11/13 – Yet to win over fences
9/13 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
7/13 – Aged 6 year-old (4 of the last 7)
5/13 – Had run at Ascot before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Gary Moore (2 of the last 9)
Trainer Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 8
9 of the last 11 winners aged 6 or 7
1 winning favourite in the last 7
No Questions Asked (9/4) won the race in 2025
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2.00 – Sodexo Live! Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4
20/23 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
17/23 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
16/23 – Irish (6) or French (10) bred
16/23 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Having their first run of the new season
13/23 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
9/23 – Rated 131 or lower
7/23 – Won last time out
6/23 – Aged 8 years-old
5/23 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (3) last time out
5/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 7)
4/23 – Won carrying 11-12
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by Venetia Williams
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 7 (6 of the last 8)
6 of the last 11 winners carried 11-1 or more
3 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a claimer
11 of the last 13 winners aged 7 or younger
Teddy Blue (9/2) won the race in 2025
Martador (6/1) won the race in 2024
Boothill (7/2 fav) won this in 2023
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:33 – Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4
21/21 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
18/21 – Didn’t win last time out
15/21 – Had run at Ascot before (8 won)
15/21 – Carried 10-10 or more
14/21 – Having their first run of the season
14/21 – Unplaced in their last race
12/21 – Aged 8 or older
12/21 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
11/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
11/21 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/21 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
7/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/21 – Trained by Gary Moore (3 of the last 10)
2/21 – Ran at Sandown last time out
The Kim Bailey yard have won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Jockey Charlie Deutsch has won 2 of the last 4
10 of the last 11 aged 5-8
7 of the last 11 aged 7-8
14 of the last 16 winners were aged 9 or younger
Henry’s Friend won the race in 2025
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
3:43 – Lavazza Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV4
22/22 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
20/22 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
18/22 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
17/22 – Never raced at Ascot before
12/22 – Having their first run of the season
12/22 – Unplaced last time out
12/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/22 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
7/22 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (4) last time out
6/22 – Won by a French bred horse
6/22 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/22 – Won by trainer Alan King (2 of the last 9)
2/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
8 of the last 17 winners were aged 5 years-old
ALL of the last 11 winners aged between 5-7
Trainer Chris Gordon has won 2 of the last 4
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 10 runnings
Alexei (13/8) won the race in 2025
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:10 – Position Payout at bet365 Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 3 1/2f Sky
8 previous runnings
7/8 – Carried 10-13 or more
7/8 – Favourites finished in top 3
7/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/8 – Aged 5-8
7/8 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
5/8 – Favourites
5/8 – Carried 11-1 or more
5/8 – Won over 2m4f + before
4/8 – Returned 3/1 or shorter
3/8 – Had run at Wetherby before
3/8 – French bred
2/8 – Ran at Warwick last time out
2/8 – Ridden by Jonathan Burke
2/8 – Ridden by Gavin Sheehan
2/8 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
1:45 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4
18/19 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
16/19 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
15/19 – Having their first run of the season
13/19 – Never raced at Wetherby before
13/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/19 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
10/19 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Dan Skelton (4 of the last 5)
4/19 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
2/19 – Trained by John Quinn
2/19 – Trained by Philip Kirby
Jockey Harry Skelton has ridden 4 of the last 5 winners
The last 12 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
10 of the last 11 winners aged 6-8
Kateira (2/1) won the race in 2025
11 of the last 12 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:18 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4
24/24 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
23/24 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
22/24 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
20/24 – Failed to win their last race
18/24 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
17/24 – Officially rated 148 or higher
17/24 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
15/24 – Placed favourites
14/24 – Finished unplaced last time out
13/24 – Ran at either Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
8/24 – Had won at Wetherby before
5/24 – Winning favourites (1 in the last 10)
3/24 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
3/24 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/24 – Trained by Dan Skelton
Harry Skelton has ridden 2 of the last 6
9 of the last 11 winners aged 6-8 years-old
Strong Leader (15/8) won the race in 2025
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:55 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4
22/24 – Rated 151 or higher
21/24 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
18/24 – Were having their first run of the season
18/24 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
15/24 – Aged 8 or older
15/24 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
13/24 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
13/24 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (8) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
12/24 – Placed favourites
9/24 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/24 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
4/24 – Winning favourites
4/24 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
3/24 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (5 wins in total)
2/24 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of last 6)
17 of the last 21 winners aged between 7-9
ALL of the last 21 winners aged 9 or younger
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 24 runnings is 6/1
The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (22 runs ago)
Hitman won this race in 2025
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
3:30 – Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Hurdle 2m ITV4
12/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
10/12 – Carried 11st or more
10/12 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – GB or Irish bred
8/12 – Having first run of the new season
8/12 – Won no more than once over hurdles
8/12 – Carried 11-5 or more
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites (6 of the last 8)
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
The last 9 winners aged 5-7
Trainer Pam Sly has trained 2 winners since 2019
3 of the last 11 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
