The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to broadcast four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature.
Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two decent handicaps there – as always, we’re on hand with Andy Newton’s key trends and stats……
Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RTV)
1:22 – British Stallion Studs EBF “Jersey Lily” Fillies Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 7f ITV
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Top 3 finish last time
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Won over 6f or 7f before
7/10 – Won just once before
6/10 – Rated between 78-81
3/10 – Stall 11
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
1/10 – Winning favourite
Charlie Appleby has a 37% SR with his 2yolds at Newmarket
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
SUREWIN BEST BET: BYMIDDAYTOMORROW
SUREWIN DANGER: ZEPHYRA
1:55 – Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV
24/24 – Had won one or two races before
23/24 – Had won over 7f or further before
23/24 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
22/24 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
21/24 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/24 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
18/24 – Either US or Irish bred
17/24 – Had only won over 7f before
16/24 – Foaled in Feb or March
14/24 – Won last time out
8/24 – Winning favourites
5/24 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 in total)
4/24 – Trained by John Gosden
3/24 – Trained by the Johnston yard
Jockey James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 10
15 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
6 of the last 8 winners from stalls 3 or lower
4 of the last 11 winners stall 3
6/10 winners from stalls 3 or 8 (3 each)
Charlie Appleby has a 37% SR with his 2yolds at Newmarket
Note: From 2010 back, the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)
SUREWIN BEST BET: QUICKEN AWAY
SUREWIN DANGER: BURNING UP
2:27 – Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV
23/24 – Finished in the top two last time out
22/24 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
21/24 – Had won over 6f before
20/24 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
19/24 – Foaled in Feb or March
19/24 – Had 3 or more previous runs
19/24 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
19/24 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
16/24 – Placed favourites
14/24 – Won last time out
13/24 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/24 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
10/24 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
9/24 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/24 – Winners drawn in stall 6
6/24 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 of last 10 runnings)
2/24 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/24 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/24 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
11 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Irish have won 8 of the last 10
9 of the last 11 came between stalls 3-9
Oisin Murphy has ridden 2 of the last 6
SUREWIN BEST BET: SUN GODDESS
SUREWIN DANGER: SENORITA BONITA
3:00 – Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV
23/23 – Won over 6f previously
21/23 – Won at least twice previously
20/23 – Won their last race20/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
20/23 – Had run 3 or more times previously
19/23 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
19/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
17/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
16/23 – Favourites placed
14/23 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/23 – Ran at Deauville last time out
9/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Won by an Irish-based stable
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 9) (7 in total)
2/23 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/23 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/23 – Winners that came from stall 1
7 of the last 10 winners drawn between 1-4
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017, 2018 & 2022
William Buick and Charlie Appleby have won the last 2 runnings
SUREWIN BEST BET: INNER CITY BLUES
SUREWIN DANGER: PUSH THE BOAT OUT
3:40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV
24/24 – Aged 6 or younger
19/24 – Won 3 or more times in their career
19/24 – Won from a double-figure stall
19/24 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
18/24 – Carried 9-5 or less (last 3 carried 9-12)
17/24 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
16/24 – Unplaced favourites
16/24 – Finished 5th or better last time out
15/24 – Had won over 1m2f before
15/24 – Had 5 or more runs that season
13/24 – Rated between 90-100
12/24 – Carried 8-12 or less
6/24 – Ran at Newbury last time out
6/24 – Returned 14/1 in the betting
4/24 – Winning favourites
4/24 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total)
4/24 – Won their last race
Trainer Karl Burke, Jockey Clifford Lee & owner Shiekh Mohammed Obaid have won the last 2
No Irish winners since 1999
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 21+
The last winner aged 7+ was in 1992 (Rambo’s Hall)
18 of the last 20 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 23/1
SUREWIN BEST BET: GAVRIEL
SUREWIN DANGER: SPANISH VOICE
HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:35 – William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 1-105) 1m ITV
17/18 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
17/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/18 – Didn’t win last time out
13/18 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
13/18 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
12/18 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Irish bred winners
7/19 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/19 – Winning favourites
Charles Hills has won 2 of the last 10 runnings
2 of the last 4 winners from stall 1
6/9 winners stalls 4 or lower
SUREWIN BEST BET: ETERNAL FORCE
SUREWIN DANGER: LOOKA
2.10 – William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV
19/19 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
19/19 – Had won over 5f before
18/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
15/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old (11 of the last 12)
15/19 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
15/19 – Had won between 2-4 times before
13/19 – Came from stalls 6-11 (inc)
12/19 – Favourites placed
10/19 – Rated between 92-96
9/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/19 – Had raced at Haydock before
8/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/19 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
9 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
4 of the last 6 winners between stalls 4-6
SUREWIN BEST BET: KING OF LIGHT
SUREWIN DANGER: TRILBY
