It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday – which marks the final day of the 2025-26 jumps season – with the Celebration Chase and bet365 Gold Cup two of the highlights.
While the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends.
In total there are SIX live ITV races – four at Sandown and one each at the other tracks.
Put history on your side – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself.
As always, here at SUREWIN we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners.
SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
1:45 – bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV
Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged between 4-6 years old
6/7 – Aged 4 or 6 (last 6 winners)
6/7 – Carried 10st 13lbs or more in weight
5/7 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Carried 11st 5lbs or more in weight
3/7 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/7 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/1
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:20 – bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV4
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Trained by Hobbs (4), Henderson (2) or Nicholls (3)
9/11 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
8/11 – Officially rated 161-170 (inc)
7/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/11 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6 of the last 7 favourites have won
Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 6 runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:25 – bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4
22/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
22/22 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
20/22 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
19/22 – Aged 9 or younger
19/22 – Placed favourites
18/22 – Came from the top three in the betting
17/22 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
17/22 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
16/22 – Rated 160 or higher
11/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/22 – Winning favourite
10/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish bred
6/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 7 times in all)
6/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc 6 of last 9) (7 in total)
6/22 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/22 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (5 of the last 9)
3/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
Jonbon has won the race in 2023 & 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/8
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
3:30 – bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV
21/22 – Had raced in the last 63 days
19/22- Carried 11-5 or less in weight
18/22 – Aged 9 or younger
17/22 – Had won over 3m or further before
16/22- Carried 11-0 or less
16/22 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Officially rated 140 or higher
14/22 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
13/22 – Had raced in the last 26 days
12/22 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
5/22 – Won with 10st in weight
4/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 total)
3/22 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Sean Bowen (3 of the last 10)
2/22 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/22 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/22 – Trained by Alan King (2 of last 6 winners)
1/22 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10.5/1
Other bet365 Gold Cup Facts
Just 1 outright winning favourite (Mr Frisk) since 1991 – (Kitty’s Light, 2023)
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
13 of the last 18 winners aged 7 or 8
3 of the last 10 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys
26 of the last 34 (76%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 8 of the last 22 runnings (38%)
18 of the last 22 (82%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
2:35 – Visit racingtv.com Handicap Cl2 (4yold+) 7f ITV
11/12 – Won over 7f in the past
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
9/12 – Aged 5 or younger
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
7/12 – Came from stalls 1-6 (inc)
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
2/12 – Trained by John Quinn
8 of the last 9 winners 8/1 or less
10 of the last 11 winners aged between 4-6
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
2:05 – Carling Black Stout King Richard III Cup Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV
Only three past runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 40% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby is just 3-from-63 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 1-31 riding 4+ year-olds at the track
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
