Plenty going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury **(Abandoned)** and Cheltenham.
With jump racing back at the home of the National Hunt – Cheltenham – with a cracking card of which FIVE races are LIVE on ITV.
Then at Newbury, we’ve two decent Group Three contests to look forward too.
While the LIVE ITV action concludes with three races from Doncaster that are climaxed with the Group One Futurity Trophy Stakes – a prize that top Irish handler – Aidan O’Brien – has won 12 times!
Like all big race days, here at SUREWIN we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.
Horse Racing Trends: Saturday 24th October, 2026
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.10 – William Hill Each Epic Boosts Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV
Just 5 previous runnings
Trainers Henry De Bromhead, Ian Patrick Donoghue, Nigel Twiston-Davies, Martin Keighley and Chris Gordon have won this race before
5/5 – Carried 10-13 or more
5/5 – Aged between 5-7
3/5 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
0/5 – No winning favourite
Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
SUREWIN BEST BET: O’MOORE PARK
SUREWIN DANGER: DE TEMPS EN TEMPS
1.45 – William Hill Extra Places Every Day Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo) 3m ITV
10/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Favourites finished in the top 2
10/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 – Top 3 finish last time out
9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – French or Irish bred
7/11 – Had won over 3m hurdles before
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Won at Warwick last time out
3/11 – Trained by John C McConnell (3 of the last 6)
2/11 – Won at Perth last time out
2/11 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/4
SUREWIN BEST BET: ROAD TO WEMBLEY
SUREWIN DANGER: NEWBROOK DIAMOND
2:20 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV
12/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
12/17 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/17 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
11/17 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
9/17 – Irish Bred
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites (4 of the last 9)
2/17 – Mare winners
2/17 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
4 of the last 11 winners ridden by a claimer
9 of the last 12 winners carried 10-9 or more
Nicky Henderson has trained the winner in 2023 and 2017 (both Nico de Boinville-ridden)
SUREWIN BEST BET: MOON ROCKET
SUREWIN DANGER: GOLD FOR ALEC / HANG IN THERE
2:55 –William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV
17/20 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting market
17/20 – Won over at least 3m previously
15/20 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
13/20 – First run of the season
13/20 – Irish bred winners
12/20 – Favourites unplaced
12/20 – Rated 134 or higher
11/20 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
9/20 – Unplaced in their last race
8/20 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
8/20 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/20 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
1/20 – Winning Favourites (none in the last 12)
4 of the last 5 winners Irish trained
Henry de Bromhead has trained 2 of the last 3 winners
Darragh O’Keeffe has ridden 2 of the last 3 winners
The last 11 winners aged between 7-9
4 of the last 7 winners aged 7
SUREWIN BEST BET: UNCLE BERT
SUREWIN DANGER: MOON D’ORANGE
3.30 – Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV
13/17 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
12/17 – Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
11/17 – Placed in their last race
11/17 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/17 – Favourites placed
6/17 – Irish bred winners
4/17 – Irish-trained winners
5/17 – Winning favourites (just 2 in the last 12)
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 7)
The Moore yard have won this race twice since 2020
Gordon Elliott has won the race twice since 2014
Just 2 winning favourites in last 12 runnings
SUREWIN BEST BET: LA LUNA ARTISTA
SUREWIN DANGER: NORTH SHORE
4:05 – William Hill Price Boosts “Chasing Excellence’ Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+) 3m RTV
9/11 – Won between 1-2 times (fences)
8/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/11 – Won last time out
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Won over 3m+ fences
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Favourite winners
2/11 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
3 of the last 6 winners Irish-trained
Last 10 winners aged 6-8 years-old
SUREWIN BEST BET: DERRYHASSEN PADDY
SUREWIN DANGER: BUTCH CASSIDY
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)
12:55 – Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV
22/22 – Ran 5 or more times that season
21/22 – Had won over 5f before
18/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/22 – Had run at Doncaster before (6 won)
13/22 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
13/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
11/22 – Carried 8-9 or less
8/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (3) last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Winners from stall 1
2/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 12)
2/22 – Winning mare/filly
11 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure stall
3 of the last 10 winners from stall 17
Note: The 2021 running was a dead-heat
SUREWIN BEST BET: ROSARIO
SUREWIN DANGER: AL SHABAB STORM
1:30 – William Hill Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 1m ITV
21/24 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
20/24 – Placed favourites
20/24 – Foaled in February or later
20/24 – Finished in the top two last time out
19/24 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/24 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
18/24 – Had raced at least twice previously
16/24 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
16/24 – Won their last race
15/24 – Winning favourites
15/24 – Foaled in either Feb or March
15/24 – Had won over a mile in the past
12/24 – Won by an Irish-based yard
9/24 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (12 wins in total)
4/24 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 12)
3/24 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Trainer John Gosden have NEVER won this race
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 4-7
7 of the last 11 winners from stalls 4, 6 or 7 (3/7 stall 6)
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 12 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021, 2022 & 2025
Since 2011 three winners went onto win the 2000 Guineas (Kameko, Saxon Warrior and Camelot)
The average SP in the last 24 runnings is 6/1
6 horses won the Derby the following season: Reference Point (1986); High Chaparral (2001); Motivator (2004); Authorized (2006); Camelot (2011); Auguste Rodin (2022)
SUREWIN BEST BET: NOBLE EXHIBIT
SUREWIN DANGER: BREACHER
2:05 – William Hill Remembering Sue Wright Prospect Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV
17/18 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
17/18 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
17/18 – Foaled in February or later
15/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Won between 1-2 times before
14/18 – Had won over 6f before
14/18 – Favourites placed in the top 3
14/18 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
13/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Won last time out
11/18 – Carried 9-1 in weight
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
8/18 – March-born foals
7/18 – Winning favourites (4 of the last 10)
2/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 10 runnings
The last 6 winners came from stalls 2 (3) or 4 (3)
9 of the last 11 winners from stalls 5 or lower
SUREWIN BEST BET: BENGAL TIGER
SUREWIN DANGER: CRYSTAL QUEEN
Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV) **(Abandoned)**
2:35 – BetVictor St Simon Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV
20/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
20/22 – Had won at least twice before
19/22 – Aged 5 or younger
19/22 – Had at least 4 runs that season
18/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Rated 106 or higher
14/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Had run at Newbury before (8 won)
14/22 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
13/22 – Placed horses from stall 6
10/22 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/22 – Won by a filly or mare
6/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/22 – Winning favourites (1 in last 9)
4/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 12)
3/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/22 – Winners from stall 1
7/9 – Won by William Haggas (3), Ralph Beckett (2)and Andrew Balding (2)
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
3/9 winners from stall 6
Al Aasy was 3rd in the race in 2024
Note: 2018 running was a dead-heat
SUREWIN BEST BET: AEGEAN PRINCE
SUREWIN DANGER: AL AASY
3.10 – BetVictor Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) (2yolds) Cl1 7f ITV
20/21 – Foaled in Feb or later
18/21 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
17/21 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
14/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/21 – Never raced at Newbury
13/21 – Favourites unplaced
13/21 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
12/21 – Won over 7f before
11/21 – Won their last race
8/21 – Foaled in February
8/21 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/21 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/21 – Winning favourites
Charles Hill has trained 2 of the last 8 winners
Charlie Appleby won this race for the first time in 2025
6 of the last 10 winners stalls 5 (3) or 6 (3)
SUREWIN BEST BET: GOLDEN SOUK
SUREWIN DANGER: JASSAS
