More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in LIVE races across the three venues.
We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup Day, while at Haydock the Group Three Rose Of Lancaster Stakes is their feature.
Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.
As always, here at SUREWIN we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.
Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)
1:35 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV
15/17 – Failed to win their last race
15/17 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
15/17 – Raced at Ascot previously
15/17 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/17 – Had 4 or more runs that season
13/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Won at least 3 times in their career
10/17 – Had won over 5f previously
8/17 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
8/17 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
7/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/17 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 11 runnings)
3/17 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox (including 2 of the last 7)
7 of the last 10 winners aged 3-5
4/10 – Drawn in stall 7
Vintage Clarets won the race in 2025
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:10 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV
19/21 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Didn’t win last time out
17/21 – Rated between 86-95
17/21 – Had raced at the track before
17/21 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/21 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
13/21 – Favourites placed in the top 4
13/21 – Ran at either Ascot (6) or Goodwood (7) last time out
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/21 – Winning favourites (1/10)
2/21 – Trained by the Charlton yard
2/21 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/21 – Won last time out
8 of the last 10 winners aged 5 or older
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
5 of the last 15 winners came from stall 9
The last 9 winners carried 9-2 or more
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 7
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 8 of the last 17 runnings
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:45 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV
20/21 – Aged 6 or younger
19/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/21 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
18/21 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
18/21 – Won between 1-4 times previously
17/21 – Officially rated between 87-94
13/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Aged 4 years-old
11/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
9/21 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
9/21 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/21 – Won last time out
2/21 – Won by the Cole yard
3/21 – Favourites that won (1/10)
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
3 of the last 7 winners from stall 1 (2 of the last 3)
4 of the last 19 winners came from stall 5
11 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
Night Breeze (11/4) won the race in 2025
Insanity (9/2) won the race in 2024
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
3:20 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV
21/21 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
19/21 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
18/21 – Won over 6f previously
18/21 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
18/21 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
16/21 – Won between 2-3 times previously
15/21 – Came from the top three in the betting market
15/21 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
15/21 – Favourites placed
14/21 – Officially rated between 86-95
8/21 – Had run at Ascot previously
8/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Winning Favourites
3/21 – Won by the Charlton yard
9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-5 or more
5 of the last 6 favourites won
4 of the last 6 winners drawn between 9-12 (inc)
7 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
4 of the last 10 winners came from stall 12
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
3:55 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV
15/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/16 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
13/16 – Officially rated between 84-92
12/16 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
8/16 – Favourites placed
5/16 – Favourites that won
4/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 6)
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
10 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8
10 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 5 and 9
8 of the last 10 winners between stalls 6-9
William Haggas has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
4:30 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV
20/21 – Won over at least a mile before
20/21 – Failed to win last time out
20/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
20/21 – Rated between 92-100
20/21 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
19/21 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
18/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Won between 2-4 times before
16/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/21 – Had run at Ascot before
6/21 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Only 3 of the last 19 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 12
The last 6 winners stalls 6 or lower
15 or the last 19 winners returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
5 of the last 7 winners came between stalls 9-12 (inc)
Ebt’s Guard (13/2) won the race in 2025
Cerulean Bay was 2nd in 2025
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)
2:25 – Betfred Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV
21/23 – Aged 5 or younger
21/23 – Officially rated 105 or higher
19/23 – Favourites placed
19/23 – Won over 1m2f or further
18/23 – Run 3 or more times that season
17/23 – Yet to run at Haydock
17/23 – Won 3 or more times during their career
17/23 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
16/23 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
16/23 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Won a Listed or better class race before
15/23 – Raced at Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
14/23 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
9/23 – Finished unplaced in their last race
9/23 – Favourites that won (5 of the last 7)
3/23 – Won by Johnston yard
The last 7 winners from stalls 2-6
Trainer Owen Burrows has won 3 of the last 4
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 7
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
3:00 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV
14/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/15 – Didn’t win last time out
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times
10/15 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/15 – Rated between 94-100
7/15 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
7/15 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/15 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
6 of the last 8 winners aged 4
4 of the last 6 winners were drawn 1 or 2
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)
1:55 – Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV
20/23 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
20/23 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
20/23 – Won just once previously
19/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/23 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
19/23 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/23 – Had won over only 6f previously
14/23 – Favourites placed
13/23 – Raced at Newmarket (9) or Sandown (4) last time out
12/23 – Won their last race
11/23 – Raced at Newmarket (July Course) previously
10/23 – Favourites that won
9/23 – Yet to win over 7f
9/23 – Had just one previous run
5/23 – Won by Godolphin
3/23 – Trained by the Hills stable
The Johnston yard has won 4 of the last 11 runnings (5 in total, most)
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 10 runnings
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings
8 of the last 19 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (5) or 2nd (2)
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
