So, that’s Cheltenham over come the weekend, but this Saturday there is still plenty of racing action as the ITV cameras head to Uttoxeter for the Midlands National, plus they are also at Kempton for a jumps fixture.
As always, here at SUREWIN we’ve got all the trends and stats for all the LIVE ITV races – we hope they help highlight a few winners.
Horse Racing Trends: Saturday 14th March 2026
Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends
1:50 – Jenningsbet 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-130) 2m4f ITV4
Only 3 past runnings
Dan Skelton (twice) and Peter Bowen have won the race before
1 winning favourite
Dan Skelton has won the last two runnings
All winners carried between 11-2 and 11-10
All winners aged between 7-9 years-old
All winners priced 8/1 or shorter
Trainer James Owen has a 29% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Joe Tizzard has a 29% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is just 2 from 56 over hurdles at the track
SUREWIN BEST BET: IT’S TOP
SUREWIN DANGER: KASINO DES MOTTES
2:25 – Jenningsbet Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 7 1/2f ITV4
Only 3 previous runnings
Red Risk won the race last season
Paul Nicholls, Dan Skelton and Kim Bailey have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
Two of the 3 winners carried between 10-6 and 10-11
Two of the 3 winners aged 6-7
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Joe Tizzard has a 27% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle is just 1-34 (3%) with her hurdlers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is just 2 from 56 over hurdles at the track
SUREWIN BEST BET: A PAI DE NOM
SUREWIN DANGER: RED RISK
3:00 – Jenningsbet Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV4
20/22– Aged 9 or younger
20/22 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
19/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Carried 10-12 or less
18/22 – Won by an Irish bred horse
17/22 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
15/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/22 – Unplaced favourites
14/22 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
14/22 – Carried 10-10 or less
12/22 – Officially rated 135 or less
13/22 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
12/22 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
10/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Trained by David Pipe
3/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
12 of the last 15 winners aged 8 or 9
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1
5 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
SUREWIN BEST BET: GIT MAKER
SUREWIN DANGER: DEAFENING SILENCE
3:35 – Jenningsbet Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4
19/22 – Aged 8 or younger
18/22 – Carried 10-9 or more
15/22 – Returned 7/1 or less
14/22 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/22 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/22 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
13/22 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
13/22 – Placed last time out
12/22 – Aged 7 years-old
10/22 – Unplaced favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Trained by Harry Fry (4 of last 11 runnings)
3/22 – Winning favourites
SUREWIN BEST BET: KYKOROCK
SUREWIN DANGER: MILCREE
Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends
2:08 – Virgin Bet Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 2m2f ITV4
3 previous runnings
Trainers Harry Derham, Nicky Henderson and L J Morgan have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
All winners carried between 11-6 and 11-8
All winners 5/1 or shorter
All winners aged between 6-8
Jockey Tom Bellamy is 7-32 (22%) riding over fences at the track
SUREWIN BEST BET:PURE CARBON
SUREWIN DANGER: CHUGGY
2:40 – Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV4
2 past runnings
Dan Skelton and Nicky Henderson have won the race before
Both winners aged 6-7
Both winners carried 11-2 to 11-4
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Martin Keighley has a 40% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary/Josh Moore are just 1 from 28 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Tom Bellamy is just 1-36 riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Toby McCain-Mitchell is 2-3 (67%) riding over hurdles at the track
SUREWIN BEST BET: ROYAL INFANTRY
SUREWIN DANGER: LA PINSONNIERE
3:18 – Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV4
5 previous runnings
Teddy Blue won on this card 12 months ago
4 of the last 5 winners aged 7 (1) or 8 (3)
All 5 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-6
Paul Nicholls has trained 2 of the last 3 winners
Harry Cobden has ridden 2 of the last 3 winners
3 of the last 5 winners aged 8
The last 3 favourites have won
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 22% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
SUREWIN BEST BET: CALIFET EN VOL
SUREWIN DANGER: BLUEKING D’OROUX
