This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock.
Did you know that 19 of the last 24 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 18 of the last 24 winners came from stalls 5 or higher?
Here at SUREWIN we are on hand with all the key trends and stats – use these to help find the best winning profiles of past winners.
Saturday 5th September 2026
HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1:25 – Betfair Backs Opinions Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV
19/22 – Won over 1m or further before
18/22 – Winning distance 1 length or more
17/22 – Won 3 or more times before
17/22 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had 3 or more runs that season
15/22 – Had won a Listed or better race before
13/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
8/22 – Winning favourites
7/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Had won at Haydock before
3/22 – Trained the Charlton yard
2/22 – Trained by Brian Ellison
8 of the last 9 winners aged between 3-5
7 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
4 of the last 8 winners came from stall 2
The last 11 winners came between stalls 2-7
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
William Buick has ridden the last 2 winners
Karl Burke has trained the last 2 winners
SUREWIN BEST BET: HANKELOW
SUREWIN DANGER: THE LOST KING
1:55 – Betfair Celebrates Bow Echo Ascendant Stakes (Listed) (Cl1) (2yo) ITV
11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Won over 7f or 1m before
11/11 – Top 4 finish last time
10/11 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
9/11 – Horse from stall 3 placed top 3 (4 wins)
9/11 – Feb or March foal
9/11 – Won just once before
8/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Haydock before
The Hannon yard have 4 wins (3 Snr, 1 Jnr)
4 of the last 8 winners from stall 3 (3 of the last 5)
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 3 or 6
8 of the last 9 winners from stall 3-9
Bow Echo won this race last year
SUREWIN BEST BET: FIRST LAW
SUREWIN DANGER: RAFE’S DA MAN
2:30 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV
16/17 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
15/17 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/17 – Rated between 81-90 (inc)
11/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/17 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
10/17 – Irish Bred
9/17 – Ran at either York (7) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/17 – Placed favourites
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 10)
2/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 10)
2/17– Trained by Johnston yard (2 of the last 14)
3 of the last 5 winners from stall 6
10 of the last 11 winners between stalls 4-9
4 of the last 9 winners from stall 6
William Haggas has won 3 of the last 6 runnings
Oisin Murphy has ridden 2 of the last 10 runnings
SUREWIN BEST BET: REEM RAK
SUREWIN DANGER: MYTHICAL BAY
3:05 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV
22/23 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
22/23 – Had won at least twice before
20/23 – Had run 4 or more times that season
19/23 – Rated 90 to 101
18/23 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
16/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
15/23 – Had run over 1m6f before
13/23 – Ran at Haydock before
13/23 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
13/23 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/23 – Ran at York last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint) (2/10)
4/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/23 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Trained by Heather Main (2 of the last 5)
2/23 – Trained by Iain Jardine (2 of the last 11)
William Haggas has trained 2 of the last 3
7 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
4 of the last 10 winners won by a claiming jockey
4 of the last 11 winners from stalls 5 (2) or 6 (2)
6 of the last 11 winners from stalls 5 (3) or 11 (3)
SUREWIN BEST BET: STRESSFREE
SUREWIN DANGER: FINALISE
3.40 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV
23/24 – Aged 6 or younger
22/24 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
21/24 – Had won over 6f before
19/24 – Rated 111 or higher
19/24 – Aged 5 or younger
18/24 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
18/24 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
18/24 – Didn’t win their previous race
18/24 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
17/24 – Had won a Group race before
16/24 – Winning distance 1 length or less
15/24 –Had 4 or more runs that season
13/24 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/24 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (8) last time out
12/24 – Had run at Haydock before (5 had won)
10/24 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/24 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/24 – Winning favourites
2/24 – Trained by James Fanshawe (2 of last 14)
2/24 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/24 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/24 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 8)
7 of the last 15 winners aged 3
7 of the last 11 winners from stalls 4-8
6 of the last 11 winners from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 9/1
SUREWIN BEST BET: MARVELMAN
SUREWIN DANGER: KIND OF BLUE
Ascot Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports Racing/ITV)
1:40 – Schweppes Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV
14/15 – Winning distance 1 1/2 lengths or less
14/15 – Had won over 7f before
13/15 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Had run at the course (Ascot) before
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/15 – Won by a claiming jockey (7 of the last 11)
6/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Unplaced last time out
6/15 – Had between 4-7 wins already
6/15 – Rated between 95-97
4/15 – Aged 5 years-old
2/15 – Winners from stall 12
1/15 – Winning favourites
7 of the last 10 winners aged 4
8 of the last 10 winners 4 or 5
8 of the last 10 winners 10/1 or shorter
SUREWIN BEST BET: THUNDER CALL
SUREWIN DANGER: NORTHERN EXPRESS
2:10 – tote.co.uk Money Back 2nd Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV
14/16 – Rated between 84-95
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/16 – Had won just once before
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Horses placed from stall 8
7/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before (5 won)
6/16 – Horses placed from stall 10
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Trained by William Haggas (4 of the last 5)
3/16 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 7)
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 11)
2/16 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
Jockey David Probert has won 3 of the last 11 (2 of the last 3)
Last 4 winners from stall 3 or 7
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat
SUREWIN BEST BET: HEYZOOM
SUREWIN DANGER: ANCESTOR
Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
2:20- William Hill London Mile Series Final Handicap Cl2(3yo+) 1m ITV
19/19 – Had run at Kempton before
17/19 – Had won over a mile before
16/19 – Won between 3-7 times before
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
12/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
7/19 – Rated between 77-86
7/19 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/19 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
5/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 14 (4) or 16 (2)
The Hannon yard have won 2 of the last 7
The last 11 winners all aged 4 or 5
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 12
SUREWIN BEST BET: WARRIOR MODE
SUREWIN DANGER: CAVOLO NERO
2:50 – William Hill September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV
19/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
16/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
14/20 – Didn’t win last time out
13/20 – Had won over 1m4f before (or further)
13/20 – Had won between 4-7 times before
12/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/20 – Had run at Kempton before
10/20 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Aged 4 years-old
5/20 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/20 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of the last 11)
4/20 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/20 – Winners from stall 2
3/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/20 – Winners from stall 1 (2 of the last 8)
3 of the last 11 winners from stall 7
7 of the last 11 winners from stalls 1, 7 or 8
Kalpana won this race in 2024
SUREWIN BEST BET: GETHIN
SUREWIN DANGER: TORNADO ALERT
3:20 – William Hill Sirenia Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 6f RTV
10/10 – Won between 1-2 times
9/10 – Drawn 7 or lower
9/10 – Had at least 3 previous runs
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – 3 or more runs
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Priced 11/2 or shorter
6/10 – Drawn 6 or lower
6/10 – Won over 6f before
5/10 – April foal
3/10 – Draw 2
3/10 – Winning favourites
SUREWIN BEST BET: MOONRISE
SUREWIN DANGER: EVENFALL
