It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also four races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.
As always, here at SUREWIN we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (25th July 2026) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.
Ascot Horse Racing Trends
1:35 –Princess Margaret Japan Cup Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV
19/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/23 – Had won just once before
18/23 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
18/23 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
17/23 – Won over 6f before
16/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
12/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
12/23 – Winning favourite
7/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/23 – Won by the Johnston yard (3 in total)
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
11 of the last 20 winners were Irish bred
11 of the last 20 horses from stall 1 were placed
5 of the last 14 winners came from stall 1
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Fitzella (9/4 fav) won the race in 2025
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:20 – Longines Valiant Stakes (Group 3) (Filles and Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV
14/14 – Won over at least 7f before
13/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Won 2 or 3 times in the past
9/14 – Came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
9/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Had run at Ascot before
2/14 – Winning favourites (last in 2015)
2/14 – Trained by Ed Walker (2 of the last 5)
John Gosden has won 2 of the last 7
Kieran Shoemark has ridden 2 of the last 5 winners
Ryan Moore is the leading jockey in the race (3 wins)
Trainer William Haggas has won the race 3 times
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
3 of the last 4 winners priced 10/3
No winning favourite in the last 10
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:55 – Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV
23/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
23/23 – Had raced at Ascot previously
20/23 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
19/23 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
17/23 – Won over 7f previously
17/23 – Won between 2-4 times previously
16/23 – Favourites unplaced
16/23 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
15/23 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
14/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
12/23 – Aged 4 years-old
10/23 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/23 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/23 – Won their last race
3/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3/23 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Clive Cox
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 15 years
16 of the last 19 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
14 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure stall
12 of the last 19 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
10 of the last 11 winners aged 4-6 years-old
Two Tribes (25/1) won the race in 2025
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 18/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
3:35 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV
23/24 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
22/24 – Had won over 1m4f before
21/24 – Placed last time out
20/24 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
19/24 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
19/24 – Previous Group 1 winner
19/24 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/24 – Had run Ascot before
14/24 – Won their previous race
14/24 – Aged 4 years-old
11/24 – Favourites that won
11/24 – Won at Ascot before
9/24 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/24 – Trained by John Gosden
3/24 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
8 of the last 14 winners from stalls 3 or 4
4 of the last 5 winners from stall 4
No winner aged 7+ ever (since race first run 1951)
No winner from stall 1 since 1999 (Daylami)
Just three 6+ year-old winners since 1951
2 of the last 11 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Just 2 French-trained winners since 2007 (Goliath 2024, Calandagan 2025)
Adayar (2021) and Galileo (2001) were the last horses to do the Derby/King George double in the same season
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
York Horse Racing Trends
1:30 – Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV
Just 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Aged between 4-6 (inc)
6/8 – Between stalls 2-8
5/8 – Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
3/8 – Won by trainer Paul Midgley
2/8 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/8 – Winning favourite
2 of the last 4 winners returned 25/1
3 of the last 7 winners from stall 8
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:00 – Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV
21/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
20/22 – Carried 8-12 or more
18/22 – Had won between 2-6 times before
18/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
16/22 – Had run at York before
15/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged 5 or younger
14/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Raced at Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
7/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/22 – Won last time out
2/22 – Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 6)
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Aged between 4-6
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 1, 6 or 12 (2 each)
Jockey Connor Beasley has ridden 3 of the last 7 winners
14 of the last 20 winners carried 9-0 or more
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:35 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV
18/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Aged 4-6
18/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
17/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
15/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
15/20 – Rated between 110 and 118
14/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/20 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
13/20 – Had run at York before
8/20 – Ran at Sandown last time out
7/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Aged 6 years-old
2/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/20 – 3 year-old winners
Royal Champion (8/1) won the race in 2025
Owen Burrows has trained 2 of the last 3 winners
The Charlton yard have won 2 of the last 10
Andrew Balding has trained 2 of the last 11
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
