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York TV Tips and Stats: 12th May 2022

Thursday, May 12, 2022

Here at SUREWIN we've got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs) of the York Dante Meeting, with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest today.

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV4)

1.50 – Paddy Power ‘Making Flat Less Flat’ Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

13/13 – Had raced at York before
12/13 – Failed to win last time out
12/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/13 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Came from a single-figure draw
11/13 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
10/13 – Aged 6 or older
9/13 – Returned a double-figure price
7/13 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
7/13 – Favourites placed
5/13 – Rated between 87-92
6/13 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby (last 2 runnings)
2/13 - Trained by Dave Griffiths (2 of the last 5)
1/13 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2019 and 2021
2021 Winner: Copper Knight (11/2 jfav)

SUREWIN VERDICT: COPPER KNIGHT
SUREWIN DANGER: JAWWAAL

 

2.25 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV4

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Won over 1m2f before
14/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Having first run of the season
10/17 – Winning favourites (including 8 of last 13)
9/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/17 – Had raced at York before
5/17 – Winners from stall 4
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Had won at York before
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 3)
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/17 – Winners from stall 1
1/17 – Irish trained winners
1/17 – French trained winners
2021 Winner: Queen Power (6/4 fav)

SUREWIN VERDICT: NOON STAR
SUREWIN DANGER: THUNDER KISS

 

3.00 – Paddy Power Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

16/16 – Rated between 96-105
15/16 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
15/16 – Had won over a mile before
14/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
13/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
11/16 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Came from a single-figure draw
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/16 – Placed last time out
7/16 – Aged 4 years-old
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/16 – Won last time out
2021 Winner: Kynren (17/2)

SUREWIN VERDICT: ISLA KAI
SUREWIN DANGER: BRUNCH


3.35 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV4

17/19 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
15/19 – Finished third or better last time out
13/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Had a previous race that season
12/19 – Won their previous race
10/19 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
5/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
4/19 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/19 - Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
3/19 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 7 runnings)
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 5)
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/19 – Had run at York before
0/19 – Winners from stall 2
Just 2 winning favourites in the last 14 runnings
Golden Horn (2015) was the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
2021 Winner: Hurricane Lane (5/1)

SUREWIN VERDICT: MAGISTERIAL
SUREWIN DANGER: DESERT CROWN

 

4.10 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 5f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over 5f or 6f in the past
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
7/10 – Ran no more than 6 times
7/10 – Rated between 98-103
7/10 – Drawn in stall 1-5
7/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Had run at the track before
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
2021 Winner: Winter Power (5/1)

SUREWIN VERDICT: KING OF BAVARIA
SUREWIN DANGER: LAST CRUSADER

 

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