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Doncaster TV Trends and Tips: Sat 16th Sept 2023

Tuesday, September 12, 2023

This Saturday it's the final (and oldest) of the English Classics as the Betfred St Leger takes centrestage. The race will figure just four trainers with Aidan O'Brien, John Gosden, William Haggas and Charlie Appleby responsible for the entries.

Frankie Dettori will also be riding in the race for the final time as he hunts his 7th St Leger win - he'll ride the Gosden-trained Gregory.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Champagne Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

21/22 - Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
18/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Had won over 7f before
18/22 – Finished third or better last time out
16/22 – Won by a Feb or March foal
14/22 – Won last time out
13/22 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or t­­he Curragh last time out
10/22 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
5/22 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/22 – Won by Godolphin
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
2/22 – Won by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
2/22 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
Chaldean on the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: ROSALLION
SUREWIN DANGER: IBERIAN

2.25 – Betfred Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y ITV

19/21 – Carried 8-12 or more
18/21 – Had run 5 or more times that season
17/21 – Won over 6f before
16/21 – Came from a double-figure stall
16/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/21 – Winner rated between 95 and 102
14/21 – Run at Doncaster previously
14/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/21 – Won 4 or more times in their career
11/21 – Unplaced Favourites
10/21 – Placed in their last race
9/21 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 9 of last 15 years)
7/21 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Raced at Ripon last time out
3/21 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/21 – Won last time out
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 - Trained by Charles Hills
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or younger
Call Me Ginger (20/1 won the race in 2022
Hurricane Ivor (11/2 fav) won the race in 2021
Stone Of Destiny (16/1) won the race in 2020
A Momentofmadness won the race in 2018 and was 2nd in 2019

SUREWIN BEST BET: ANNAF
SUREWIN DANGER: CALL ME GINGER

3.00 – Betfred Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

17/20 – Won 3 or more times before
17/20 – Run 3 or more times that season
17/20 – Won a Group race previously
17/20 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
16/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
16/20 – Won over 7f before
14/20 – Aged 4 or older
14/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Unplaced in their most recent race
10/20 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
9/20 – Placed horses from stall 1
8/20 – Had run at Doncaster before
6/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4 Irish-trained winners in the last 14 runnings
Kinross won the race in 2022


SUREWIN BEST BET: BIGGLES
SUREWIN DANGER: SKYCATCHER

3.35 – Betfred St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV

18/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/21 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
18/21 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
17/21 – Placed favourites
17/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had won a Group race before
16/21 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
14/21 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
13/21 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
13/21 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
13/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
12/21 – Won last time out
12/21 – Officially rated 109 to 115
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/21 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
5/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/21 – Trained by John Gosden
4/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
4/21 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (7 wins in total)
3/21 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 7 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 7/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: CONTINUOUS
SUREWIN DANGER: ARREST

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