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Sunday TV Tips and Trends: 7th May 2023

Thursday, May 4, 2023

Another cracking day of ITV Racing action this Sunday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four more races that are spearheaded by the 1000 Guineas.

As always, here at SUREWIN we've got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats to help you find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 Howden Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

1 previous runnings
Cemhaan (100/30 fav) won the race in 2022
Trainer Shaun Lycett has a 50% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track (2-from-4)
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 31% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track Trainer William Jarvis has a 31% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 1 from 40 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

2.25 Howden Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

11/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
9/12 – Won just once before
8/12 – Had between 1-3 runs before
7/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of last 9)
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (all for John Gosden)
2/12 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
2/12 - Ridden by Jim Crowley
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

3.00 – Howden Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

17/18 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
17/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
17/18 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
15/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Won this on first run of the season
10/18 – Had run at the course before
9/18 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
7/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Ridden by William Buick
2/18 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 9)
12 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 100/30


3.40 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

19/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/21 – Had won between 2-3 times before
16/21 – Had won a Group race before
15/21 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
14/21 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
13/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Won their previous race
12/21 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price
10/21 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/21 – Favourites unplaced
9/21 – Irish-trained winners
8/21 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/21 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/21 – Previous Group One winners
4/21 – Won by a US bred horse
4/21 – Won by the favourite
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – French-trained winners
3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
11 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12.5/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

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