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Newcastle Free Tips and Trends - Good Friday 7th April 2023

Thursday, April 6, 2023

The ITV4 cameras head to Newcastle racecourse this Good Friday (7th April 2023) to take SIX races from the lucrative All Weather Championships Meeting Finals Day.

There are plenty of the power-house flat yards bringing horses to the northern venue and it’s no surprise with mouth-watering prize money on offer, including £100k for the winner of the feature race – the Easter Classic All-Weather Middle-Distance Championship Conditions Stakes (3:00).

Like all big race days, here at SUREWIN we take a look at all the races from a trends angle, including the best positive and negative trainer/jockey stats – we hope they help point you in the direction of a few winners!

Note: This meeting used to be staged at Lingfield, but has been moved to Newcastle for the first time in 2022 - therefore, some trends (like draw and previous track stats) will apply to Lingfield.

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (SkyRacing/ITV4)

 

1.50 – talkSPORT All-Weather 3 Year Old All-Weather Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (3yo) 6f ITV4

Five previous runnings
3 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 5 and 6
All 5 previous winners were favourites
Trainers William Haggas, Archie Watson, F Chappet, Clive Cox and Karl Burke have won the race before
Trainer George Boughey has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andre Balding has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Julie Camancho is just 4 from 61 with her 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Robert Havlin has a 23% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey James Doyle has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Shane Gray is just 2 from 83 riding 3 year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2022 Winner: EL CABALLO (13/8 fav)

 

2.25 - BetUK All-Weather Marathon Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m7f169y ITV4

All of the last 8 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
All 8 past winners finished in the top 3 last time out
6 of the last 8 winners aged between 4-6 years-old
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
4 of the last 8 winners had won at the track before
3 of the last 8 favourites have won (or jfavs)
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 8
3 of the last 8 winners ran at Lingfield last time out
2 of the last 8 winners trained by Andrew Balding
The favourite has finished 1st (twice) or 2nd in 7 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer George Boughey has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2022 Winner: EARLOFTHECOTSWOLDS (10/3jfav)

 

3.00 – BetUK All-Weather Easter Classic Middle Distance Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m2f ITV4

6 of the last 8 previous runnings went to the favourite (or joint fav)
6 of the last 8 previous winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
All previous winners aged between 4-6 years-old
All of the last 8 winners came from stalls 2 or 4
6 of the 8 winners were Irish-bred horses
6 of the last 8 winners returned 3/1 or shorter
5 of the last 8 winners ran at Lingfield last time out
All 8 previous winners drawn in stall 4 or lower
6 of the past 8 winners had won over CD before
2 of the last 3 winners were trained by the Johnston yard
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners of this race
Trainer William Haggas has a 38% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2022 Winner: LIVING LEGEND (7/1)

3.35 – Spreadex All-Weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m1y ITV4

Just 2 winning favourites in the last 7 runnings
All previous winners aged between 5-8 years-old.
7 of the last 8 past winners drawn 8 or lower
6 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
6 of the last 8 winners didn’t win their last race
6 of the last 8 winners had run at the track before (3 won)
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 8
Jockey Tom Marquand has ridden 2 of the last 3 winners
Trainer Clive Cox has a 60% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2022 Winner: MY OBERON (13/8 fav)

4.10 – talkSPORT All weather Fillies’ and Mares’ Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 7f1y ITV4

Just 2 winning favourite in the last 8 runnings
6 of the 8 winners were aged 4 years-old
5 of the last 8 previous winners were Irish-bred horses
7 of the last 8 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Horses from stall 3 have been placed in 4 of the last 8 runnings (2 winners)
Favourites placed in 5 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 39% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer George Boughey has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2022 Winner: HIGHFIELD PRINCESS (15/8 fav)

4.45 – Betway All-Weather Sprint Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 6f1y ITV4

Trainer Richard Fahey won this race in 2014, 2016 & 2017
Three winning favourites in the last 8 runnings
5 of the last 8 winners were Irish-bred horses
6 of the last 8 previous winners had raced at the track before
6 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
5 of the last 8 winners drawn in stall 7 or lower
2 of the last 4 winners were French-trained
Paul Hanagan has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners
Summerghand won this race in 2021
Trainer Clive Cox has a 60% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2022 Winner: SUMMERGHAND (6/1)

 

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