No let-up for the top-class racing action over the festive period with another huge day of National Hunt action on Tuesday 27th December.

The ITV cameras head to Kempton for three races for the second and final day of their Winter Festival, while they are also at Chepstow to take in the Welsh National - Did you know, 18 of the last 20 Welsh National winners were aged 9 or younger, and 14 of the last 20 winners carried 10-8 or less in weight?

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.20 – Ladbrokes Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

11/11 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – 1^st or 2^nd last time out
10/11 – Between 1-2 Chase wins before
10/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Won last time out
9/11 – Favourites placed in top 2
9/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Irish or French bred
6/11 – Aged 5 years-old
5/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/11 – Winning favourite
3/11 – Had won over fences at Kempton before
Edwardstone (8/15 fav) won the race in 2021

1.55 – Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side On Football Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y ITV4

15/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
13/15 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
11/15 – Favourites that were placed in the top 3
8/15 – Won over 3m previously
7/15 – Won their last race
8/15 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/15 – Ran at the track previously
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Aged 5 years-old
2/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
Emmpressive Lady (3/1 jfav) won the race in 2021

2.30 – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

13/15 – Aged 8 or younger
12/15 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
11/15 – Run at the track previously
10/15 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
10/15 – Winning favourites
10/15 – Officially Rated 160+
7/15 – French bred
7/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Trained by Alan King
Shishkin (4/9 fav) won the race in 2021
Nube Negra (20/1) won the race in 2020

3.09 - Play Ladbrokes 1-2 Free On Football Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

14/15 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
14/15 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
11/15 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
8/15 – Favourites Unplaced
6/15 – Officially Rated between 122-130
5/15 – Ran at Kempton previously
5/15 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
5/15 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd in their last race
4/15 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/15 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Five Star Getaway (12/1) won the race in 2021

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.05 – Coral Get Closer To The Action Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

18/19 – French (10) or Irish (8) bred
17/19 – Won over 2 ½ miles (fences) previously
15/19 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
14/19 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/19 – Won between 2-3 times (fences) previously
12/19 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
10/19 – Placed in the first three last time out
8/19 – Aged 7 or younger
6/19 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
6/19 – Won their last race
6/19 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/19 – Ridden by Charlie Deutsch
2/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
Golden Whisky (12/1) won this race in 2021

1.40 – Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m ITV4

17/18 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
17/18 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Placed 1^st or 2^nd last time out
15/18 – Won between 0-2 times previously
12/18 – French bred
10/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Raced at the track previously
5/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/18 – Trained by Alan King

2.10 – Coral Racing Club Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m 7 1/2f ITV4

18/20 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
16/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/20 – Won between 1-3 times previously over hurdles
15/20 – Irish bred
14/20 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
14/20 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/20 – Ran at Chepstow previously
12/20 – Won over 3m previously
10/20 – Carried between 11-2 and 11-11 in weight
9/20 – Officially Rated 120 or less
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/20 – Won their last race
Tim Vaughan has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Peter Bowen has won 3 of the last 9 runnings
Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV4

20/20 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
20/20 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
20/20 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
18/20 – Aged 9 or younger
18/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
16/20 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
15/20 – Aged 8 or younger
14/20 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
14/20 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Irish bred
12/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
11/20 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
9/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Unplaced favourites
7/20 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
6/20 – French bred
6/20 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 9/1