Get ahead of this Saturday’s live ITV racing action at Ripon, Newbury, and Newmarket with the key trends and stats you need to pick your winners.
Ripon: Great St Wilfrid Handicap
It’s one of the biggest fixtures on Ripon’s calendar, headlined by the ultra-competitive William Hill Great St Wilfrid. If you’re looking for an edge, focus on the prime age bracket: 17 of the last 24 winners were aged 4 to 6.
Newbury: Hungerford Stakes
Over at Newbury, the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes takes center stage. A low draw has proved almost essential here, with 15 of the last 17 winners jumping from stall 6 or lower.
Newmarket: Grey Horse Handicap
The ITV cameras will also be live at Newmarket for one of the most distinctive spectacles on the racing calendar-the iconic Grey Horse Handicap.
Here at SUREWIN, we’ve broken down every televised race using past winning profiles and key trends to help you narrow down the field and find the best-value selections.
NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
2:10 – Betway Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV
22/23 – Didn’t win last time out
19/23 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
19/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
17/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Had 3 or more career wins
15/23 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
4/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 9)
The last 11 winners aged 3-6 years-old
4 of the last 8 winners from stalls 4 or lower
7 of the last 10 winners between stalls 4-9
Archduke Ferdinand won this race in 2024
Strike won the race in 2022 2nd in 2024 and 6th in 2023 & 2025
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:25 – Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV
23/24 – Had won at least twice in their career
20/24 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
19/24 – Aged 3-5 years-old
18/24 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/24 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
17/24 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
16/24 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/24 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/24 – Winning favourites (4 of the last 5)
14/24 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
11/24 – Had already won a Group race
11/24 – Had won at Newbury before
10 of the last 11 winners from stalls 2-6
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11
3 of the last 8 winners from stall 2
2/6 winners trained by Owen Burrows
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
1:55 – D&H, Excellence In Nutrition Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV
Three previous running
Rhythm N Hooves won this race in 2025
1/3 winning favourite
2/3 winners from stalls 2-4
Trainer Harry Charlton is just 3-55 (5%) at Newbury
Trainer William Haggas has a 22% SR at Newbury
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
2:35 – TPT Fire Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV
14/15 – Aged between 3-6 (inc)
14/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
12/15 – Had won over 7f or further before
11/15 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/15 – Rated between 90-98 (inc)
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Finished 5th or better last time out
8/15 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
8/15 – Had raced at Newbury before
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/15 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 9)
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 6)
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Won last time out
The 3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 6
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
3.10 – Visit Malta Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV
21/24 – Didn’t win last time out
20/24 – Had won over this 7f trip before
19/24 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/24 – Officially rated 108 or more
19/24 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
19/24 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
18/24 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
13/24 – Had run at Newbury before (5 won)
9/24 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/24 – Trained by William Haggas (4 of the last 11)
15 of the last 17 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
John Gosden is the leading trainer (6 wins)
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)
2:55 William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV
Only 3 past runnings
Trainers Richard Fahey, Paul Midgley and Nigel Tinker have won this race before
All 3 winners from stalls 10-12
No winning favourite yet
2/3 winners carried 9-11 and 9-12
Trainer Grant Tuer is just 3-from-55 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Grant Wood won the race in 2024
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
3:25 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV
21/24 – Previous winners over 6f
18/24 – Didn’t win last time out
17/24 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
16/24– Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/24 – Carried 8-11 or more
15/24 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/24 – Finished unplaced last time out
14/24 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
13/24 – Had run at Ripon before (5 won)
13/24 – Unplaced favourites
10/24 – Ran at either Goodwood (7) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/24 – Aged 4 years-old
7/24 – Winning favourites (6 in the last 13)
3/24 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 15)
3/24 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/24 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
3/24 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of last 13)
2/24 – Aged 3 years-old
3 of the last 7 winners ran in the race the previous year
Just ONE winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings (2025)
8 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
10 of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or less
Only 8 winning favourites since 1990 (but 6 in last 13)
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
SUREWIN BEST BET: To follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To follow
