This Saturday the ITV horse racing cameras are busy again – they are taking in nine races across three tracks.
So, after last week we’ve now already had two of the five English Classics, but this week with Epsom Oaks and Derby Trials Day at Lingfield – we’ll get a chance to take in a few more clues ahead of the next batch of Classics ahead of the June showpieces.
As well as three races at Lingfield, the ITV cameras are also taking in Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, the old Swinton Hurdle from Haydock while they will also be showing three races at Ascot, that including the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup at Ascot.
As always, here at SUREWIN we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips.
Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:15 – Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m ITV
22/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
22/22 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
20/22 – Carried 11-5 or less
21/22 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
18/22 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
18/22 – Didn’t win last time out
14/22 – Carried 10-9 or less
14/22 – Irish bred
13/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/22 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/22 – Returned a double-figure price
8/22 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/22 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 12 runnings)
3/22 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/22 – Ridden by Adam Wedge (2 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
Trainer Olly Murphy has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow
Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)
1:45 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV
18/19 – Failed to win last time out
17/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/19 – Aged 5 or younger
16/19 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
15/19 – Had won over a mile before
14/19 – Carried 9-0 or more
13/19 – Aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/19 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
10/19 – Rated between 82-87
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/19 – Winning favourites (none in the last 11)
9 of the last 11 aged 4 or 5 years-old
SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow
2:40 – Carey Group Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV
18/22 – Aged 5 or younger
18/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
18/22– Had won no more than 3 times
17/22 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/22 – Had won over 7f before
14/22 – Unplaced favourites
14/22 – Carried 8-10 or less
13/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/22 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
10/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 16 years
11 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure draw
Hickory won the race in 2025
The Wizard Of Eye won the race in 2024
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield
SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow
2:55 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Italy Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f
13/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/13 – Won 2 or 3 times before
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Carried 9-4 or less
10/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Rated between 86 and 91
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/13 – Won on reappearance run (5 of last 8)
5/13 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/13 – Horses from stall 11 placed (2 winners)
5/13 – Winning favourites (4 of last 8)
2/13 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 9)
2/13 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 7)
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has won 2 of the last 7
SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow
Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)
12:55 William Epic Boosts Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f
Just 2 previous runnings
Trainers Ralph Beckett and Richard Hannon have won the race
Trainer James Fanshawe is 2 from 5 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Gary and Josh Moore are 5 from 21 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston is 2 from 6 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand has a 43% (3/7) SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow
1:28 – William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV
20/22 – Had won no more than once before
19/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Had no more than 3 career runs
18/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (1 winner (Anapurna 2019, two seconds)
12/22 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
12/22 – Having first run of the season
11/22 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/22 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/22 – Winners from stall 5
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 9)
4/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas
Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 2016 and 2025
9 of the last 11 winners drawn 5 or lower
SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow
1:58 – William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV
23/23 – Had won no more than 3 times
19/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
18/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
17/23 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
17/23 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Favourites placed
15/23 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
10/23 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
8/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
7/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 11)
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
6 of the last 11 winners drawn 5, 6 or 7
SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow
2:40 – William Hill Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV
19/19 – Aged 5 or younger
16/19 – Won between 1-4 times before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Had won over 7f before
13/19 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/19 – Placed favourites
11/19– Irish-bred
8/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
7/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Non UK-trained winners
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
6 of the last 16 winners returned double-figures in the betting
Trainer Marco Botti has won the last 2 runnings
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 1 (3) or 3 (3)
Great Generation won the race in 2024 & 2025
SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow
