Here at SUREWIN we’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds, 11th May 2022) of the York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes the two main events.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.50 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV4

17/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
11/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/17 – Rated between 80 and 93
11/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/17 – Had run at York before
7/17 – Aged 5 years-old
7/17 – Unplaced last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/17 – Winners from stall 1
2021 Winner: Ilaraab (7/2 fav)

SUREWIN VERDICT: GAASSEE
SUREWIN DANGER:  NOBLE MASQUERADE (e/w)

2.25 – Churchill Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

17/19 – Aged 6 or younger
17/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
15/19 – Had run at York before (6 won at the track before)
15/19 – Had won over this trip before
12/19 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
11/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/19 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Won their previous race
1/19 – Winning outright favourite
10 of the last 12 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2018 and 2021
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
2021 Winner: Mr Lupton (14/1)

SUREWIN VERDICT: NOMADIC EMPIRE
SUREWIN DANGER: MR LUPTON (e/w)

3.00 - 1895 Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/19 – Came from stall 9 or lower
17/19 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
14/19 – Had run at York before
14/19 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
13/19 – Had a previous race that season
13/19 – Came from stall 7 or lower
10/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/19 – Unplaced last time out
7/19 – Won by the favourite
6/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/19 – Won their last race
5/19 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/19 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2021 Winner: Starman (5/1)

SUREWIN VERDICT: MINZAAL
SUREWIN DANGER: HAPPY ROMANCE

3.35 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV4

18/19 – Had won a race before
15/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Had a previous run that season
14/19 – Finished 4^th or better last time
13/19 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
12/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
8/19 – Won by the favourite
8/19 – Won their previous race
5/19 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of the last 11)
4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of last 7)
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Sariska 2009, Snowfall 2021)
0/19 – Had run at York before
11 of the last 15 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2021)
2021 Winner: Snowfall (14/1)

SUREWIN VERDICT: EMILY UPJOHN
SUREWIN DANGER: THE ALGARVE

4.10 – Paddy Power ‘Here For The Craic’ Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 7f

10/10 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/10 – Won just once before
8/10 – Carried 9-1 or less
7/10 – Rated between 79-86
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Winning favourites
6/10 – Drawn between stalls 4-7 (inc)
6/10 – Ran 4 or less times
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
0/10 – Winners from stalls 1,2 or 3
2021 Winner: Wonwobwob (7/1)

SUREWIN VERDICT: SAMBURU
SUREWIN DANGER: FAST AND LOOSE