More LIVE ITV horse racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to both Haydock and Musselburgh to take in seven races across the two venues.

As always, here at SUREWIN we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our verdicts!

Enjoy!

Saturday 30th March 2024

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final (A Handicap Hurdle) Cl2 1m7f144y ITV

7 previous runnings
Trainers Gary Moore, Neil King, Dan Skelton, Jonjo O’Neill, Donald McCain, Tom George and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the race before
6/7 – Winners carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/7 – Carried 10-8 or less
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/7 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/7 – Winners returned between 8/1 and 11/1
4/7 – Rated between 115-119
3/7 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/7 – Irish Bred
1/7 – No winning favourite
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Harry Derham has a 40% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 4 from 46 (9%) with his hurdlers at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: PLAYFUL SPIRIT
SUREWIN DANGER: MILLDAM

2.40 – Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

7/7 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/7 – Finished in the top three last time out
4/7 – Had run at the track before
6/7 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
4/7 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
3/7 – Rated between 122-126
3/7 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Jonjo O’Neill Jr
2/7 – Winning favourites
Trainers Jonjo O’Neill (2), Brian Ellison, Nick Williams and Stuart Edmunds have won this race before
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Alexander has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 4 from 46 (9%) with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor has a 33% (3-9) record riding over hurdles at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: JUDICIAL LAW
SUREWIN DANGER: ASTRONOMIC VIEW

3.15 – Unibet Veteran’s Handicap Chase Cl2 (9yo+) 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Sam Thomas has a 67% strike-rate over fences at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson has a 33% strike-rate over fences at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 24% strike-rate over fences at the track
Jockey James Bowen has a 27% strike-rate over fences at the track
Jockey Charlie Deutsch has a 23% strike-rate over fences at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: NUMITOR
SUREWIN DANGER: FRANCKY DU BERLAIS

MUSSELBURGH Horse Racing Trends (Racing TV/ITV4)

1.50 – Virgin Bet Royal Mile Handicap (Class 3) (3yo) 1m ITV

2 previous runnings
The Johnston yard have won both runnings (Mark & Charlie)
Jockey Joe Fanning has won both runnings
Both winners came from stalls 3 or lower
Both winners carried 9-5 or more
Trainer Richard Fahey has an 18% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston has an 17% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has an 17% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Sam James has a 24% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: INDIVIDUALISM
SUREWIN DANGER: BERKSHIRE NUGGET

2.25 – Virgin Bet Silver Arrow Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 7f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
Trainers Katie Scott (2), Mark Johnston, David O’Meara, Kevin Ryan and David Barron have won the race before
Gweedore won the race in 2022 and 2023
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
5/6 – Came between stalls 3-5 (inc)
5/6 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
3/6 – Came from stall 3
No winning out favourite yet (1 joint)
Trainer Karl Burke has a 50% record with his 4+ year-old at the track (3 from 6)
Jockey Shane Gray has a 19% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Sam James has a 19% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: GWEEDORE
SUREWIN DANGER: POET MASTER

3.00 – Virgin Bet Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+) 5f ITV

11/12 – Won over 5f before
9/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Drawn 8 or higher
8/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/12 – Rated between 92 and 99
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12– Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/12 – Ran at the track before
5/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Drawn in stalls 15 (2) or 16 (2)
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Mick Appleby
3/12 – Ridden by a claimer  (3 of the last 9)
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8+
7 of the last 10 winners aged 6 or younger
Silie Wilkie won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: VINTAGE CLARETS
SUREWIN DANGER: LOOKING FOR LYNDA

3.35 – Virgin Bet Queen's Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

7/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/8 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Had run at Musselburgh before
5/8 – Returned a double-figure price
2/8 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/8 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope (last 2)
2/8 – Ridden by Ben Curtis
1/8 – Winning favourite
Trainer Adam Nicol is 3 from 4 with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainers Mark Johnston (2), Archie Watson, Ian Williams, JP Shanahan, Brian Ellison and Jim Goldie have won the race before

SUREWIN BEST BET: HOPE YOU CAN RUN
SUREWIN DANGER: BERKSHIRE ROCCO