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Northumberland Plate Stats and Tips

Monday, June 20, 2022

Run at Newcastle racecourse over 2 miles the Northumberland Plate is one of the richest staying handicap races in the world.

Formerly known as the ‘Pitmen’s Derby’ the contest was first run in 1833 and being over 2 miles can often attract plenty of horses trained by National Hunt stables, while sponsors Betfair have supported the race now since 2019.

We’ve seen four winning favourites in the last 10 years.

We take a look back at past winners and highlight the key trends and statistics to look out for when going through the race– this year run on Saturday 25th June 2022

 

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2021 - Nicholas T (33/1)
2020 – Caravan Of Hope (9/2 fav)
2019 – Who Dares Wins (12/1)
2018 - Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

19/20  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
19/20 – Finished fifth or better last time out
16/20 – Came from stall 14 or lower
16/20 – Aged 6 or younger
16/20 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
15/20 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
12/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/20 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
7/20 – Won by a National Hunt yard
6/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/20 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 14 winners)
2/20 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/20 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 7)
1/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 13.5/1
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Five of the last 16 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Ten winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 4 of the last 10
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

 

SUREWIN BETS BET: BANDINELLI (e/w)
SUREWIN DANGER: ISLAND BRAVE (e/w)

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