More top jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock, while the main event at Ascot is the 1965 Chase – As always, here at SUREWIN, we are on hand with all the trends and stats…..

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports)

1.30 – CopyBet 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

18/21 – Aged 8 or younger
18/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
16/21 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
15/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/21 – Favourites placed
13/21 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
13/21 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
13/21 – Won by a French-bred horse
13/21 – Ran at Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (8) last time out
11/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/21 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
10/21 - Won last time out
9/21 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/21 – Aged 5 years-old
3/21 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/21 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/21 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/21 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, Ryanair Chase 2009 & 2016)
Pic D’Orhy (5/2) won this in 2023

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

SUREWIN BEST BET: PIC D'ORHY
SUREWIN DANGER: LE PATRON

2.45 - Ascot Hurdle Race (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

22/22 – Priced 4/1 or less
20/22 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
19/22 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
18/22 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (6) bred horse
16/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Won their latest race
13/22 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
14/22 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
12/22 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
11/22 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
11/22 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
8/22 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
6/22 – Went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle after winning this (1 winner)
5/22 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
5/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4 of the last 18 winners were Irish-trained
3/22 - Trained by Harry Fry (3 of the last 9)
2/22 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
Blueking d’Oroux won the race in 2023
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

SUREWIN BEST BET: GOLDEN ACE
SUREWIN DANGER: BLUEKING d OROUX

3.20 – Lay & Wheeler Hurst Park Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

17/18 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
17/18 – Had won over fences over 2m (or further) before
16/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/18 – Rated 142 or higher
11/18 – Carried 11-0 or more
11/18 – Had raced at Ascot before
10/18 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
10/18 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
7/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Aged 6 years-old
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Ridden by Jonathan Burke (3 of the last 7)
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 6)
2/18 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/18 – Trained by Harry Fry (last 2)
Boothill (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: MARTATOR
SUREWIN DANGER: KOTMASK

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

10/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
8/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/12 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
5/12 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Evan Williams
Park Annonciade (3/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: KAMSINAS
SUREWIN DANGER: STEEL ALLEY

1.50 – Betfair Exchange Graduation Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

13/13 – 0-2 wins over fences
12/13 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
12/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/13 – Rated between 144-149
9/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (7 of the last 10)
9/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/13 – 0-2 runs over fences before
7/13 - Winning favourites
6/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (4 of the last 8)
3/13 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 10)

SUREWIN BEST BET: IROKO
SUREWIN DANGER: DEAFENING SILENCE

2.30 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

17/19– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
16/19 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
16/19 – Carried 10-9 or more
14/19 – Rated between 132 and 144
12/19 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
12/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Placed favourites
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – French bred
6/19 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/19 – Trained by David Pipe
4/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)

SUREWIN BEST BET: DOYEN QUEST
SUREWIN DANGER:

3.05 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

19 Previous runnings
17/19 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
16/19 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (12) bred horse
15/19 - Won a Grade One chase previously
14/19 - Placed in the top three in their last race
14/19 - Raced at Haydock previously
13/19 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/19 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
12/19 – Favourites placed
10/19 – Aged 8 or older
9/19 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
8/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/19 – Won their latest race
4/19 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 19 runnings is 4/1
Just 1 Irish-trained winner yet
11 of the last 12 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020
The Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

SUREWIN BEST BET: ROYALE PAGAILLE
SUREWIN DANGER: HEWICK

3.40 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m 1 1/2f ITV

13/13 - Aged 9 or younger
12/13 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
12/13 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 - Won between 1-3 times over fences
11/13 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/13 - Irish (8) or French (3) bred
10/13 - Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 - Won a race over at least 3m before
8/13 - Had run at Haydock before
8/13 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 - Carried 11-6 or more in weight
8/13 - Placed favourites
7/13 - Rated between 135 and 145 (inc)
6/13 - Won last time out
4/13 - Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)

SUREWIN BEST BET: CREDO
SUREWIN DANGER: LE MILOS