Despite the Cheltenham Festival just over a week ago and the Grand National yet to be run - this Saturday sees the new flat turf season getting going at Doncaster, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature.

While there is also a decent jumping card at Newburyand Bangorwith 9 LIVE ITV4 races in total.

We’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

1.20 Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Last ran 4+ months ago
9/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Rated 106+
8/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/10 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Had won 6+ times before
4/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Trained by Roger Varian (3 of last 7)
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 6)
7 of the last 9 winners from stalls 5 or lower
8 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old

SUREWIN BEST BET: CHARYN
SUREWIN DANGER: ASTRAL BEAU

1.50 – William Hill EBF Brocklesby Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

14/16 – Won this on their debut runs
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Horses from stall 2 that finished 1^st or 2^nd
5/16 – Ridden by a claimer
4/16 – Trained by Bill Turner (6 in total: 1996, 2002, 2006, 2008, 2011 & 2013)
4/16 – Winning favourites (co & joint)
3/16 – Winners from stall 2
3/16 – Winners from stall 10
2/16 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 4)
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 6 runnings (4 wins in total)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/2

Note: 2006 running was staged at Redcar, 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

SUREWIN BEST BET: MYSTICAL ELEGANCE
SUREWIN DANGER: ROYSDELIGHT

2.25 – Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

18/21 – Carried 8-13 or more
17/21 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
16/21 – Aged 4 years-old
15/21 – Won over a mile before
14/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/21 – Won from a single-figure draw
3/21 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
2/21 – Winning favourites (non in the last 9 runnings)
2/21 – Won last time out
2/21 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 21 years
8 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old
Harswell (10/1) Duke won the race in 2023
Arthur’s Realm (11/2) won the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: HARSWELL DUKE
SUREWIN DANGER: ARTHUR'S REALM

3.00 – Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/19 – Aged 7 or younger
17/19 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
17/19 – Had won no more than 5 times before
17/19 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
17/19 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Had won over 6f before
12/19 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
12/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/19 – Rated 101+
11/19 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/19 – Had raced at Doncaster before
11/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
4/19 – Had won at Doncaster before
3/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites (or joint)
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 14 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)

SUREWIN BEST BET: BARADAR
SUREWIN DANGER: ORAZIO

3.35 – Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
17/20 – Had won over at least 1m before
16/20 – Had won between 2-4 times before
15/20 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
15/20 – Having their first run of the flat season
14/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/20 – Unplaced favourites
12/20 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
10/20 – Officially rated between 95-100
10/20 – Placed first or second last time out
9/20 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
6/20 – Placed horses from stall 12 (2 winners)
5/20  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/20 – Winning favourites (just 1 in the last 10 runnings)
3/20 – Trained by William Haggas
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/20 – Trained by John Quinn
2/20 - Trained by John Gosden
2/20 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 4)
10 of the last 13 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 37 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 14/1
Migration (2023) won the race in 2023

Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

SUREWIN BEST BET: LIBERTY LOVE
SUREWIN DANGER: THE GATEKEEPER

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2:10 – Bet In-Play On Racing At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

3 previous runs
3/3 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
2/3 – Carried between 10-9 and 10-10
1/3 – Winning favourite
Trainer Tom Lacey won the race in 2023
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling is just 2 from 36 with his hurdles at the track
Jockey Sean Bown is just 1 from 26 riding over hurdles at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: INTO THE PARK
SUREWIN DANGER: ONETHREEFIVENOTOUT

2:40 – Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

9/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Aged 7 or older
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Favourites finished first or second
7/9 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/9  - Won no more than 3 times over fences
6/9 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
6/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/9 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
3/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/9 – Winning favourites
Heltenham won the race in 2024

SUREWIN BEST BET: HELTENHAM
SUREWIN DANGER: SOLO

3:15 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

9/11 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
9/11 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/11 - Won 1-2 times before
8/11 - Had not run at Newbury before
9/11 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
8/11 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
8/11 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/11 - Placed favourites
6/11 - Irish bred winners
6/11 - Aged 5 years-old
6/11 - Ran at Doncaster (4) or Exeter (2) last time out
5/11 - Won last time out
4/11 - winning favourites
2/11 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

SUREWIN BEST BET: LARCHMONT LASS
SUREWIN DANGER: OOH BETTY

BANGOR Horse Racing Trends

1.30 DragonBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 3 1/2f ITV4

Just one past running
Jungle Jack (9/4 jfav) won the race in 2023
Trainer Donald McCain won the race in 2023
Trainer Donald McCain has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 1-from-21 (5%) with her hurdlers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 33% record riding over hurdles at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: JUNGLE JACK
SUREWIN DANGER: PICKANUMBER