More LIVE ITV Racing action on Saturday 27th December – with races from Kempton and Chepstow – that includes the Welsh Grand National.
See all the key trends and stats below.
Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.55 – Ladbrokes Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4
14/14 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – 1st or 2nd last time out
13/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Between 1-2 Chase wins before
11/14 – Favourites placed in top 2
11/14 – Irish or French bred
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old
6/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (11 total)
5/14 – Winning favourite
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Had won over fences at Kempton before
SUREWIN BEST BET: LUMP SUM
SUREWIN DANGER: MAMBONUMBERFIVE
2.30 – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4
15/18 – Aged 8 or younger
14/18 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
13/18 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
13/18 – Run at the track previously
12/18 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
10/18 – Winning favourites
10/18 – Officially Rated 160+
9/18 – French bred
8/18 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/18 – Trained by Alan King
3/18 – Trained by Gary Moore
SUREWIN BEST BET: THISTLE ASK
SUREWIN DANGER: SAINT SEGAL
3.07 – Ladbrokes ‘Big Football Bet Builder Boosts’ Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4
17/18 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
16/18 – Aged 8 or younger
16/18 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
13/18 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
10/18 – Favourites Unplaced
7/18 – Officially Rated between 122-130
7/18 – Ran at Kempton previously
7/18 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
6/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/18 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/18 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
SUREWIN BEST BET: BEACHCOMBER
SUREWIN DANGER: ALCEDO
3:37 – Ladbrokes ‘Get Rewarded With Ladbucks’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-140) 2m ITV
10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
9/10 – Aged 5-7
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Carried 11-1 to 11-8
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
SUREWIN BEST BET: DOUBLE MEASURE
SUREWIN DANGER: MANUELITO
Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports/ITV)
1:05 – Coral Racing Club ‘Join For Free’ Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl4 (4yo+ 0-120) 2m
Only two past runnings
Zambezi Fix won the race in 2023
Trainer Sam Drinkwater has a 67% SR (2-3) with his chasers at the track
SUREWIN BEST BET: PASSING KATE
SUREWIN DANGER: BALLYBREEZE
1:40 – Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m ITV
20/21 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
20/21 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
17/21 – Won between 0-2 times previously
14/21 – French bred
11/21 – Won their last race
9/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Raced at the track previously
5/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/21 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/21 – Trained by Alan King
SUREWIN BEST BET: MACKTOAD
SUREWIN DANGER: MANLAGA
2:10 – Join Coral ‘Bet £10 Get £50’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m 7 1/2f ITV
19/23 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
19/23 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/23 – Irish bred
15/23 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
15/23 – Won over 3m previously
16/23 – Won between 1-3 times previously over hurdles
16/23 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/23 – Ran at Chepstow previously
12/23 – Carried between 11-2 and 12st in weight
10/23 – Officially Rated 120 or less
5/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/22 – Won their last race
Tim Vaughan has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Peter Bowen has won 3 of the last 12 runnings
Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat
SUREWIN BEST BET: AMBION VIEW
SUREWIN DANGER: PATRIOTIK
2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV
23/23 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
23/23 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
23/23 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
21/23 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
20/23 – Aged 9 or younger
18/23 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
17/23 – Aged 8 or younger
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23– Carried 10-8 or less in weight
13/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
13/23 – Irish bred
12/23 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
10/23 – Won last time out
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
7/23 – Had run in the Welsh National before
7/23 – French bred
5/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
11/18 – Aged 7 or 8
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/1
SUREWIN BEST BET: JUBILEE EXPRESS
SUREWIN DANGER: COLLECTORS ITEM
3:25 – Coral “Pipped-At-The-Post” Payouts Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f Sky
21/22 – French (12) or Irish (9) bred
20/22 – Won over 2m4f + miles (fences) previously
18/22 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/22 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Won between 2-3 times (fences) previously
14/22 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
13/22 – Placed in the first three last time out
10/22 – Aged 7 or younger
8/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6/22 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Charlie Deutsch
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
SUREWIN BEST BET: BEN SOLO
SUREWIN DANGER: DR T J ECKLEBURG
