Doncaster TV Trends and Tips: Sat 13th Sept 2025

Doncaster TV Trends and Tips: Sat 13th Sept 2025

This Saturday it’s the final (and oldest) of the English Classics as the Betfred St Leger takes centre stage.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Champagne Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

  • 23/24 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 22/24 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
  • 20/24 – Finished third or better last time out
  • 19/24 – Had won over 7f before
  • 18/24 – Favourites placed
  • 18/24 – Won by a Feb or March foal
  • 15/24 – Won last time out
  • 13/24 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or t¬¬he Curragh last time out
  • 10/24 – Raced 3 or more times that season
  • 9/24 – Winning favourites
  • 5/24 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (3 of the last 11)
  • 4/24 – Won by Godolphin
  • 3/24 – Winners from stall 1
  • 2/24 – Won by the Johnston yard
  • 2/24 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
  • 2/24 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
  • 4 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 3 or lower
  • No winning favourite in last 5 years

SUREWIN BEST BET: GEWAN
SUREWIN DANGER: OXAGON

2.25 – Betfred Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y ITV

  • 21/23 – Carried 8-12 or more
  • 20/23 – Had run 5 or more times that season
  • 19/23 – Won over 6f before
  • 18/23 – Came from a double-figure stall
  • 16/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 16/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
  • 15/23 – Run at Doncaster previously
  • 15/23 – Won 4 or more times in their career
  • 14/23 – Winner rated between 95 and 102
  • 12/23 – Unplaced Favourites
  • 11/23 – Placed in their last race
  • 9/23 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 9 of last 17 years)
  • 7/23 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
  • 6/23 – Winning favourites
  • 4/23 – Raced at Ripon last time out
  • 3/23 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
  • 3/23 – Won last time out
  • 2/23 – Ridden by William Buick
  • 2/23 – Trained by Charles Hills
  • 2 of the last 3 winners trained by Jim Goldie
  • 12 of the last 14 winners were aged 5 or younger
  • 3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

SUREWIN BEST BET: JORDAN ELECTRICS
SUREWIN DANGER: ROSARIO

3.00 – Betfred Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

  • 19/22 – Won 3 or more times before
  • 19/22 – Run 3 or more times that season
  • 19/22 – Won a Group race previously
  • 19/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
  • 18/22 – Won over 7f before
  • 17/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
  • 15/22 – Aged 4 or older
  • 15/22 – Placed favourites
  • 12/22 – Unplaced in their most recent race
  • 11/22 – Run at either Goodwood (6), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
  • 9/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
  • 9/22 – Had run at Doncaster before
  • 6/22 – Winning favourites
  • 2/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 7)
  • 3/22 – Won by a previous winner of the race
  • 4 Irish-trained winners in the last 16 runnings
  • 5 of the last 7 winners drawn between stalls 2-4
  • Kinross won the race in 2022 and 2024

SUREWIN BEST BET: ROOM SERVICE
SUREWIN DANGER: MARVELMAN

3.40 – Betfred St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV

  • 20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
  • 20/23 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
  • 20/23 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
  • 19/23 – Placed favourites
  • 19/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 18/23 – Had won a Group race before
  • 18/23 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
  • 15/23 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
  • 15/23 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
  • 13/23 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
  • 13/23 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
  • 14/23 – Won last time out
  • 14/23 – Officially rated 109 to 115
  • 10/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
  • 9/23 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
  • 7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
  • 4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
  • 4/23 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (7 wins in total)
  • 4/23 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (3 won it)
  • 3/23 – Ridden by William Buick
  • 3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
  • 2/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
  • 2/23 – Winners from stall 1
  • Godolphin have won the race 7 times
  • Aidan O’Brien has trained 8 winners of the race
  • The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 6/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: FURTHER
SUREWIN DANGER: LAMBOURN

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