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York TV Tips and Stats: 13th May 2022

Friday, May 13, 2022

1.50 – Knights Solicitors EBF Stallions Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

15/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
14/16 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
13/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Winners from stall 9
6/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 10 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 13 winners
2021 Winner: Nymphadora (13/2)

SUREWIN BEST BET: MIAMI GIRL
SUREWIN DANGER: YAHSAT

 

2.25 – Oaks Farm Stables Fillies´ Stakes (The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV4

15/15 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
15/15 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
14/15 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
12/15 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/15 – Placed 5th or better last time out
10/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/15 – Horses from stall 1 placed
8/15 – Raced at either Newmarket (5) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2021 Winners: Primo Bacio (14/1)

SUREWIN BEST BET: PERFECT NEWS
SUREWIN DANGER: GRANDE DAME

 

3.00 – Paddy Power ‘I Love Steak’ Stakes Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV4

19/19 – Aged 7 or younger
18/19 – Had run over 1m2f before
16/19 – Didn’t win their last race
15/19 – Came from stall 5 or higher
15/19 – Won over at least 1m2f before
14/19 – Carried 8-11 or MORE
12/19 – Had a previous run that season
11/19 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 8 of the last 13 years)
9/19 – Finished third or better last time out
6/19 – Had run at York before
6/19 – Won by the favourite
3/19 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/19 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/19 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
13 of the last 15 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2021 Winner: UAE Prince (5/1)

SUREWIN BEST BET: ROGUE BEAR
SUREWIN DANGER: SUMMA PETO

 

3.35 – Paddy Power Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

17/17 – Came from stall 7 or lower
16/17 – Didn’t win last time out
16/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
16/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Aged 5 or older
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/17 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/17 – Had run at York before
8/17 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
7/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
7/17 – Came from stall 4 or 7
7/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Stradivarius has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
2021 Winner: Spanish Mission (11/2)

SUREWIN BEST BET: STRADIVARIUS
SUREWIN DANGER: MAX VEGA

 

4.10 - Paddy Power ‘Fill our Boots’ Handicap (Class 3) 3yo 0-90 1m4f ITV4

9/9 - Carried 9-0 or more in weight
7/9 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 - Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
4/9 - Trained by Mark Johnston (last 3 runnings)
4/9 - Winning favourites
2/9 - Ridden by William Buick
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: PONS AELIUS
SUREWIN DANGER: SUPER STARS

 

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