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York Ebor Festival Stats & Tips: Weds 21st August 24

Sunday, August 11, 2024

The horse racing action steps up a few gears again on Wednesday 21st August as the four-day Ebor Festival from York gets going. Bundles to look forward to with 10 Group races spread over the meeting that include the Juddmonte Stakes, Nunthorpe Stakes and the Yorkshire Oaks, while the meeting is always concluded with the Ebor Handicap on the final day - the most valuable flat handicap in Europe!

We get going on Day One with four LIVE ITV races, including the Group Three Acomb Stakes, where 19 of the last 21 winners won last time out, while we've also the Great Voltigeur - a decent St Leger Trial - but the opening day's feature is the Group One Juddmonte International Stakes - a race that is worth just over £560k to the winner!

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races - use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

DAY ONE - Wednesday 21st August 2024

 

1.50 – Symphony Group Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f89y ITV

15/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
14/15 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
12/15 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
12/15 – Had run 6 or more times that season
12/15 – Had run at York before (6 won)
8/15 – Unplaced last time out
7/15 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
1/15 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 14 winners came from stall 15
7 of the last 14 winners came from a single-figure stall
Equilateral (12/1) won the race in 2023
Bergerac (22/1) won the race in 2022
Copper Knight (18/1) won the race in 2021

SureWin Best Bet: To follow
Sure Win Danger: To follow

2.25 – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Had won at least once before
19/21 – Won their previous race
16/21 – Had won over 7f or further before
14/21 – Placed favourites
8/21 – Ran at either York (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 - Had run at York before
4/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/21 - Ridden by James Doyle
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
10 of the last 15 winners were foaled in March or later
11 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5-9 (inc)

SureWin Best Bet: To follow
Sure Win Danger: To follow

3.00 – Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f ITV


20/22 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
19/22 – Had won at least twice already in their career
17/22 - Placed favourites
17/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/22 – Trained/Owned by Sir Michael Stoute (3), Godolphin (4) or John Gosden (5)
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Went onto be placed in the St Leger
4/22 – Went onto win the St Leger (Continuous, Logician, Lucarno, Rule of Law)
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 6)
0/22 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (2001, 2003, 2016 & 2023)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times before (2007, 2008, 2012, 2017 & 2019)
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won this race 7 times before (1982, 1994, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011 & 2013)
15 horses have won this before going onto win the St Leger (Sept 14th)
Godolphin have won the race 6 times

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Goodwood

SureWin Best Bet: To follow
Sure Win Danger: To follow

3.35 - Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

20/22 – Previous Group 1 winners
20/22 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
19/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
18/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/22 – Had not run at York before
16/22 – Aged 4 or older
15/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/22 – Had won 5 or more times before
13/22 – Ran at either Ascot (8) or Sandown (5) last time out
12/22 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
11/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 in total and of the last 11)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 6)
3/22 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
6 of the last 16 winners were Irish-trained
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 6 times
Mostahdaf (3/1) won the race in 2023

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

SureWin Best Bet: To follow
Sure Win Danger: To follow

4.10 Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 2m 1/2f ITV

14/14 – Had run in the last 2 months
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Won between 1-5 times before
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Rated between 86-96
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Came from stall 7 or higher
9/14 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
9/14 – Had run at the course before
8/14 – Drawn from stalls 8-13 (inc)
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
4/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Irish-trained winners
2/14 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
Forza Orta (8/1) won the race in 2023

SureWin Best Bet: To follow
Sure Win Danger: To follow

 

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