York Ebor Festival Stats & Tips: Sat 23rd August 2025
The York Ebor Festival concludes on Saturday 23rd August 2025, as the four-day meeting heads into it's final day.
Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Three Strensall Stakes but the final day is always spearheaded by the Ebor Handicap - Europe's most valuable handicap - Did you know - 19 of the last 23 Ebor Handicap winners carried 9-6 or less in weight, while 18 of the last 23 winners came from a double-figure stall?
As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races - use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners.
York Horse Racing Trends
DAY FOUR - Saturday 23rd August 2025
1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV
21/22 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/22 – Had won at least twice in the their career
21/22 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
17/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/22 – Had won over a mile before
9/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint) (5 in the last 10)
8/22 – Won by Godolphin
5/22 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/22 – Had won at York before
3/22 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 11)
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
7 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower
See The Fire (3/1 fav) won the race in 2024
Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat
Surewin Best Bet: KING'S GAMBIT
Surewin Danger: BULLET POINT
2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV
20/22 – Never raced at York before
18/22 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
17/22 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/22 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
16/22 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/22 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
13/22 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/22 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/22 – Trained by William Haggas
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 9)
2/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 5)
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 5)
The last 8 winners carried 9-3 or less
Tabletalk (12/1) won the race in 2024
Surewin Best Bet: GOLDEN HANDSHAKE
Surewin Danger: FANTASY WORLD
3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV
20/22 – Failed to win last time out
19/22 – Aged 5 or younger
18/22 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
16/22 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
16/22 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
15/22 – Never run at York before
13/22 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/22 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/22 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
7 of the last 10 winners drawn 3+
John Quinn yard have won 2 of the last 5
Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 3
Breege (33/1) won the race in 2024
Surewin Best Bet: NEVER SO BRAVE
Surewin Danger: LAKE FOREST
3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV
22/23 – Aged 6 or younger
19/23 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/23 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/23 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/23 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
15/23 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/23 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/23 – Unplaced favourites
12/23 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/23 – Had run at York before
8/23 – Irish-trained winners (8 of the last 16)
7/23 – Won last time out
6/23 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/23 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/23 – Ran at Galway last time out
3/23 – Placed horses from stall 1 (winner 2023, third 2011, third 2013)
3/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 11)
2/23 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/23 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 7)
2/23- Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 16)
All of the last 13 winners carried 9-0 to 9-9
6 of the last 7 winners carried 9-5 or more
Just three winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
8 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
7 of the last 9 winners stalls 12+
4 of the last 6 winners Irish-trained
Magical Zoe (11/2 fav) won this race in 2024
Surewin Best Bet: SIEGE OF TROY
Surewin Danger: ASCENDING
4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV
Just 4 past runnings
Elmonjed (7/2 fav) won the race in 2024
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022 and 2023
2 of the last 4 winning favourites
2 of the 4 winners from stall 2
All 4 winners priced 15/2 or shorter
3 of the 4 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the 4 winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat
