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York Ebor Festival Stats & Tips: Fri 23rd August 2024

Wednesday, August 21, 2024

The York Ebor Festival continues on Friday 19th August 2022, as the four-day meeting heads into it's third day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Two Lonsdale Cup, but day three is all about the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes as we get a chance to see some of the best sprinters on the planet doing battle again - Did you know 19 of the last 22 Nunthorpe winners came from stall 11 or lower, plus 20 of the last 22 also finished in the top 5 last time out?

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races - use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

DAY THREE - Friday 23rd August 2024

1.50 – Sky Bet Stakes Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV

20/21 – Aged 5 or younger
19/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before (7 over 1m4f)
18/21 – Had won at least twice on the flat before
16/21 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
16/21 – Carried 9-5 or less in weight
16/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/21 – Won from stall 7 or higher
10/21 – Ran at either Goodwood (6) or Newmarket (4) last time out
5/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3) or Mark Johnston (2)
3/21 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
Marhaba The Champ (8/1) won the race in 2023
Farhan (20/1) won the race in 2022

Surewin Best Bet: Mr Monaco
Surewin Danger: Wafei

2.25 – Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m88y ITV


18/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
18/20 – Had 4 or more career wins
17/20 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
16/20 – Favourites placed
16/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/20 – Didn’t win last time out
15/20 – Won a Listed or better class race before
14/20 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/20 – Had run at York before (9 won)
2/20 – Winners from stall 1
Coltrane (11/4) won the race in 2023
Quickthorn (9/4) won the race in 2022

Surewin Best Bet: Vauban
Surewin Danger: Align The Stars

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

20/21 – Won just 1-2 times before
20/21 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/21 – Won just once before
14/21 – Had won over 6f before
13/21 – Foaled in March or later
4/21 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 5)

Surewin Best Bet: Big Mojo
Surewin Danger: Shadow Of Light

3.35 - Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 5f ITV

20/22 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
20/22 – Had won over 5f before
19/22 – Came from stall 11 or lower
19/22 – Had an official rating of 107 or more
18/22 – Had run at the course before
16/22 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
15/22 – Were previous Group race winners
9/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 8 of last 14)
5/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 - Won by the Hills yard (Charles/Barry)
3/22 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
2/22 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods
10 of the last 15 winner drawn 7 or higher
8 of the last 13 winners were fillies/mares
11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4-7 years-old
Live In The Dream (28/1) won the race in 2023 

Surewin Best Bet: Big Evs
Surewin Danger: Bradsell

4.10 – Assured Data Protection EBF Fillies’ Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m 21/2f

Only 4 previous runnings
Reach won the race in 2023
State Occasion won the race in 2022
The Flying Ginger won the race in 2021
Trainers Michael/David Easterby, Ralph Beckett, Roger Fell and Roger Varian have won the race before
3/4 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old  
3/4 – Carried 8-10, 8-12 and 9-0

Surewin Best Bet: Sound Angela
Surewin Danger: Chorus

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