A huge Saturday and Sunday this weekend as it's Guineas weekend with the first two Classics of the season which means the new flat turf season is well and truly started.
We've four races - including the 2,000 Guineas - to take in at Newmarket on Saturday, plus the ITV cameras are also heading to Goodwood and Thirsk to take in two more LIVE races - plenty to look forward to!
So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our free horse racing tips, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!
11/11 – Aged between 3-5
11/11 – Won over 5f or 6f before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Aged 3 years-old
6/11 – Came from stalls 11 (3) or 7 (3)
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 6)
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
Unequal Love won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
Note: The race was formerly run at Nottingham from 2021 back
11/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 - Had won over 6f before
10/12 - Won 3+ times before
10/12 - Didn’t win last time out
9/12 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/12 - Returned 13/2 or bigger
8/12 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 - Unplaced favourites
7/12 - Ran at Newmarket before (Rowley)
7/12 - Carried 9-3 or more in weight
6/12 - Rated 100+
3/12 - Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/12 - Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1
18/19 – Had won at least twice before
18/19 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/19 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
16/19 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/19 – Rated between 90 and 96
11/19 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Having their first run of the season
7/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Irish bred
2/19 - Winning favourites
2/19 - Trained by Andrew Balding
Just 2 winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 16 runnings
20/22 – Won 3 or more times before
19/22 – Had won over 5f before
19/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
18/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
18/22 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
16/22 – Had run at Newmarket before
16/22– Aged 5 or younger
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Rated between 108 and 114
13/22 – Placed favourites
10/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/22 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 4 runnings)
Just 5 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
5 of the last 8 runnings went to 4 year-olds
8 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
Vadream won the race in 2023 and second in 2024
22/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Had won over at least 7f before
20/23 – Had won a Group race before
21/23 – Had won between 2-5 times before
19/23 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
18/23 – Won last time out
18/23 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/23 – Having their first run of the season
15/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/23 – Irish bred
10/23 – Had won over a mile before
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/23 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/23 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
4/23 – Won the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes (Churchill, Gleneagles, Dawn Approach, George Washington and Refuse To Bend)
3/23 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1
Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/12 – Won 2 or more times before
8/12 – Yet to race at the track
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/12 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
7/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Won over a mile before
6/12 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
4/12 – Winners from stall 1
3/12 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
12/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Won at least twice before
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Won over at least 1m before
11/13 – Unplaced last time out
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
9/13 – Won between 2-4 times
7/13 – Winners from a double-figure draw
7/13 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 8)
8 of the last 11 winners returned 13/2 or bigger in the betting
Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby