With the Cheltenham Festival looming it's no surprise the quality of the weekend racing takes a slight dip over the next few weekends. That said, we've still plenty of action to enjoy as the ITV cameras head to Newbury to take in two races, with the Greatwood Gold Cup their feature race - a contest the powerful Paul Nicholls yard have won in 7 of the last 14 runnings.

We've also got three races at Doncaster with the Grimthorpe Chase the main event - 14 of the last 19 winners were aged 9 or older, so these two trends are certainly worth having on your side.

The cameras are also at Kelso for four races - the Grade Two bet365 Premier Kelso Hurdle - with 13 of the last 15 winners placed in the top four last time out, this is a key trend to have on side.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!

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NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.20 – Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV

12/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
11/13 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
8/13 – Aged 10 years-old
8/13 – Favourites unplaced
7/13 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
6/13 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
3/13 – Won their last race
1/13 – Winning favourites
Cyclop won the race in 2023
6 of the last 8 winners carried 11st or less
Trainer David Dennis won the race in 2022 and 2023
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 7/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: OMAR MARETTI
SUREWIN DANGER: FORTESCUE

1.55 – BetVictor Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV

17/19 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
16/19 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
16/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
16/19 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
16/19 – Won over this trip (2m4f) previously (or further)
15/19 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
13/19 – Officially rated 139 or higher
13/19 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
12/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/19 – Favourites placed
9/19 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
9/19 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/19 – Won by a French-bred horse
8/19 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/19 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/19 – Favourites to win (1 joint)
3/19 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
3/19 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/19 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/1
The Big Bite won the race in 2023
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

SUREWIN BEST BET: KANDOO KID
SUREWIN DANGER: HELTENHAM

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.35 – Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV

12/12 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
8/12 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/12 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
4/12 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
3/12 - Ridding by a claiming jockey
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Trained by Brian Ellison
9 of the last 11 winners carried 10st 11lbs or more
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: TOMMY'S OSCAR
SUREWIN DANGER: NUBE NEGRA

3.10 – Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

9/10- Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10– Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/10 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
6/10 – Irish bred
5 of the last 8 winners aged 6
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: LUNAR DISCOVERY
SUREWIN DANGER: GAYE LEGACY

3.40 – Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV

18/19 – Aged 8 or older
18/19 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
16/19 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
16/19 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/19 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
14/19 – Aged 9 or older
13/19 – Rated 132 or less
12/19 – From the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/19 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
7/19 – Won their last race
4/19 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/19 – Winning Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 9 runnings
Undersupervision (9/2) won the race in 2022
The average wining SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: CERTAINLY RED
SUREWIN DANGER: SOME SCOPE

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.42 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Aged 6 years-old
2/3 – Winning favourites
Paul Nicholls trained the winner in 2021 (Flash Collonges)
Nicky Richards trained the winner in 2022 (Famous Bridge)
Dan Skelton trained the winner in 2023 (Santos Blue)
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 21% record with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 20% record with their hurdlers at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen in 0-from-12 riding over hurdles at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: ITSO FURY
SUREWIN DANGER:SERIOUS OPERATOR

2.17 – bet365 Premier Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV

14/15 – Aged 7 or younger
14/15 – Favourites placed in the top three
13/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
13/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/15 – Had raced at Kelso before
6/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Winning favourite
3/15– Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/15 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: JANGO BAIE
SUREWIN DANGER: BRUCIO

2.50 – bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

12/12 – Had run in the last 3 months
10/12 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
9/12 – Never run at the track before
7/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/12 – Rated between 138-146
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/12– Ridden by Brian Hughes
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Richards
Benson (11/1) won the race last year (2023)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2

SUREWIN BEST BET: UNDER CONTROL
SUREWIN DANGER: BENSON

3.25 – bet365 Premier Chase (Listed Race) (Gbb Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m 7 1/2f) ITV

9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Favourites placed 1^st or 2^nd
8/10 – Had run at the course before
8/10 – Aged 9 or older
7/10 – Won over 3m plus in the past
7/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Placed 4^th or better last time out
5/10 – Rated between 132-141 (inc)
4/10 – Won by jockey Brian Hughes
3/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/10 – Trained by Sandy Thomson
Empire Steel (4/1) won the race last year (2023)
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: MONBEG GENIUS
SUREWIN DANGER: AYE RIGHT