More LIVE ITV Racing to take in this Saturday as the cameras are at Sandown, Wetherby and Musselburgh to show nine races across the three meetings. At Sandown the Scilly Isles Novices' Chase is their feature - a race jockey Daryl Jacob has won 4 times in the last 9 runnings, plus a contest that we've seen 12 of the last 20 favourites win.

While up in Scotland it's Scottish County Hurdle day at Musselburgh - 6 year-olds have won 12 of the last 16 renewals.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!

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Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.25 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m4f ITV3

8/8 – Carried 11st or more
8/8 – Won between 0-1 times before
8/8 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
8/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Carried 11st 4lbs or more
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Placed favourites
7/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Irish bred
2/8 – Had run at the track before
2/8 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: JINGKO BLUE
SUREWIN DANGER: CLASSIC ANTHEM

2.00 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y ITV3

17/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/17 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
14/17 – Aged 9 or younger
13/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/17 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (4 won)
9/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/17 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
7/17 – Raced at Sandown last time out
7/17 – French bred
6/17 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
5/17 – Aged 7 years-old
4/17 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of last 5)
3/17 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (3 of last 5)
3/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/17 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Trained by Kerry Lee (2 of the last 7)
2/17 – Ridden by Jamie Moore (2 of the last 7)
The last 10 winners carried 10-12 or more
8 of the last 10 winners carried 11-2 or more
Dolos won the race in 2019, 2020, 2022 and second in 2021

SUREWIN BEST BET: HARPER'S BROOK
SUREWIN DANGER: IN EXCELSIS DEO

2.35 – Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV3

20/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
19/20 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
18/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/20 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
18/20 – Aged 7 or younger
17/20 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
16/20 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2 winners, Defi Du Seuil, JLT Novices’ Chase, L’Homme Presse, Brown Advisory)
15/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
13/20 – French bred
12/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Aged 7 years-old
7/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/20 – Irish bred
6/20 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the Brown Advisory Chase (1 winner, L’Homme Presse)
5/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/20– Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/20 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (4 of last 9 winners)
Gerri Colombe (10/11) won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: LE PATRON
SUREWIN DANGER: HERMES ALLEN

3.10 Virgin Bet Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m7 1/2f ITV3

8/8 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 - Didn’t win last time out
7/8 - Won between 2-4 times
7/8 - Returned between 5/1 and 10/1 in the betting
7/8 - Aged 8 or younger
6/8 - Irish bred
6/8 - Carried 10-10 or less in weight
5/8 - Unplaced favourites
6/8 - Rated between 129-134
4/8 - Ran at Kempton last time out
1/8 - Winning favourites
Trainer Venetia Williams has won the last two runnings

SUREWIN BEST BET: TANGANYIKA (e/w)
SUREWIN DANGER: ED KEEPER

3.45 – Virgin Bet Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV3

18/20 – Carried 11-6 or less
18/20 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/20 – Aged 9 or younger
15/20 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
15/20 – Rated 139 or lower
12/20 – Irish-bred
11/20 – Placed last time out
11/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/20 – Had raced at Sandown before (5 won)
10/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/20 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/20 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – French-bred
3/20 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/20 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 10)
2/20 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 10)
Trained by Philip Hobbs (2 of the last 4)
Castle Robin won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: BANGERS AND CASH
SUREWIN DANGER: BLACKJACK MAGIC

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:40 – bet365 Frodon Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (5yo+) 2m 4 1/2f ITV3

Only 3 previous runnings
Trainer L J Morgan has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
All three winners returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
All three winners aged between 6-8 years-old
Trainer Charlie Longsdon has a 40% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Lucinda Russell has a 19% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% riding over fences at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: JACKPOT DE CHOISEL
SUREWIN DANGER: GENERAL OFFICER

2.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y ITV3

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged between 8-9 years-old
5/6 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
4/6 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/6 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
1/6 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Magna Sam won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: UNIVERSAL FOLLY
SUREWIN DANGER: TRUCKERS LODGE

2.50 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y ITV3

15/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
12/16 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/16 – Aged 6 years-old
11/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/16 – Former flat horses
9/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
8/16 – Rated between 120-130
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6)
2/16 - Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 5)
4 of the last 7 winners were ridding by a claiming jockey
Collingham (11/2) won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: BENSON
SUREWIN DANGER: PARISENCORE