Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, here at SUREWIN we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

Let's get cracking!

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Betfair Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

20/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
20/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
19/20 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
19/20 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
18/20 – Aged 6 or younger
17/20 – French (13) or Irish (4) bred
17/20 – Won last time out
13/20 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (3 winners)
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (6) last time out
12/20 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
8/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/20 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
6/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Trained by Alan King
Le Patron won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow......
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow......

2.25 – Betfair Plays Different Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

19/20 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
18/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
16/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/20 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
14/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/20 – Unplaced favourites
12/20 – Rated between 116-129
11/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
13 of the last 14 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
Spirit d’Aunou (4/1) won this in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow......
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow......

3.00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

21/22 – Aged 9 or younger
20/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
19/22 – Had won a Grade One chase before
18/22 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
17/22 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
16/22 – Placed favourites
16/22 – French bred
16/22 – Officially rated 165 or higher
15/22 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
14/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/22 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
14/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
13/22 – Won last time out
11/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 wins in total)
6/22 - Won by a past winner
6/22 – Won the Queen Mother Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival later that season
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/4

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow......
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow......

3.35 – Betfair Exchange London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

17/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
17/18 – Aged 7 or older
17/18 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
16/18 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
15/18 – Rated 126 or higher
15/18 – Aged 8 or older
14/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/18 – Irish bred
12/18 – Unplaced favourites
11/18 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/18 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
5/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/18 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 7
Trainer Neil Mulholland has won 2 of the last 8
5 of the last 7 winners ridden by claiming jockeys
Certainly Red was 3rd in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow......
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow......

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.32 – Boylesports Home Of The Early Payout Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/10 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
8/10 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
8/10 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
7/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
6/10 – Ran at Ayr (2), Kempton (2) or Bangor (2) last time out
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
6/10 – Had run at Aintree before
6/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/10 – Rated between 133 and 135 (inc)
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
Richmond Lake won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow......
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow......

2.07 – Boylesports Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

20/22 - Aged 8+
18/22 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had no more than 1 start that season
17/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Carried 10-12 or less
16/22 – Aged 9 or older
14/22 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
13/22 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/22 – Irish-bred winners
11/22 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
12/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/22– Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22– Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
3/22– Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/22 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Chambard (18/1) won the race in 2023
Ashdown Lad (5/1) won the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow......
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow......

2.42 – Boylesports Acca Boost Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m1f RTV

10/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Won over 2m+ before
9/10 – Favourites finished in top 3
8/10 – Won last time out
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – French bred
5/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/10 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/10 – Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 15/8
Note: This race has been staged at Doncaster in the past

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow......
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow......

3.15 – Boylesports Extra Place Daily Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

11/13 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 - Aged 7 or younger
10/13 - Aged between 5-6 years-old
9/13 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/13 - Won between 1-2 times before
9/13 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/13 - Won over at least 2m4f before
7/13 - Had run at Aintree before
4/13 - Ran at Aintree (2) or Kempton (2) last time out
5/13 - Winning favourites
4/13 - Won last time out
2/13 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 - Trained by Dan Skelton
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow......
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow......