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Sat TV Trends and Tips: 13th May 2023

Wednesday, May 10, 2023

So, after last week we’ve now already had two of the five English Classics, but this week with Epsom Oaks and Derby Trials Day at Lingfield we’ll get a chance to take in a few more clues ahead of the next batch of Classics ahead of the June showpieces.

The John Gosden team will be eyeing their fourth Lingfield Oaks Trial since 2017, while the powerful Aidan O’Brien camp will also be looking to enhance their excellent record in the Lingfield Derby Trial – they’ve won 6 of the last 15 renewals.

As well as four races at Lingfield, the ITV cameras are also taking in Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, the old Swinton Hurdle from Haydock Park, while they will also be showing three races at Ascot, that including the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup.

As always, here at SUREWIN we've got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips.

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.15 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

19/19 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
19/19 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
18/19 – Carried 11-5 or less
18/19 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
17/19 – Didn’t win last time out
16/19 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Irish bred
12/19 – Carried 10-9 or less
11/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/19 – Ran at Aintree last time out
7/19 – Returned a double-figure price
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/19 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 9 runnings)
3/19 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/19 – Irish-trained winners

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.30 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f

10/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Won 2 or 3 times before
8/10 – Rated between 86 and 91
8/10 – Carried 9-4 or less
8/10 – Aged 4 years-old
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
5/10 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
4/10 – Won on reappearance run (4 of last 5)
4/10 – Horses from stall 11 placed (1 winner)
4/10 – Had raced at Ascot before
4/10 – Winning favourites (3 of last 5)
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/10 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni

2.05 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

15/16 – Failed to win last time out
15/16 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
14/16– Had won over a mile before
14/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/16 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
9/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Rated between 82-87
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites (none in the last 10)

2.40 – Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

16/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
16/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
16/19– Had won no more than 3 times
15/19 – Had won over 7f before
13/19 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
11/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
5/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 13 years
The last 9 winners came from a double-figure draw
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Download The At The Races App Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-75) 7f ITV4

5/5 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
5/5 – Carried 9st 2lbs or more in weight
5/5 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
4/5 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Trained by Richard Hannon

2.25 - Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
13/16 – Won between 1-4 times before
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won over 7f before
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16– Irish-bred
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
6/16 – Non UK-trained winners
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
3/16 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 13 winners returned double-figures in the betting

3.00 - Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4 

17/19 – Had won no more than once before
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had no more than 3 career runs
16/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/19 – Came from stall 5 or higher
12/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
10/19 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
9/19 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Having first run of the season
9/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/19 – Winners from stall 5
5/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Irish-trained winners

3.35 – Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

20/20 – Had won no more than 3 times
16/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
15/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Finished 4th or better last time out
14/20 – Favourites placed
13/20 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
9/20 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
7/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

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