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Sat TV Trends and Tips: 20th May 2023

Wednesday, May 17, 2023

After a week at York, the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at SUREWIN we've got all the big race trends on Saturday 20th May.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

16/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
15/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
14/18 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/18 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Drawn in stall 3
3/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 8)
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

18/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/19 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/19 – Drawn 4 or lower
14/19 – Had run at Newbury before
14/19 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/19 – Aged 4 years-old
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas (the last 2)
3 of the last 14 winners were Godolphin-owned

3.00 - BetVictor London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

18/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Carried 8-10 or more
15/19 – Rated 90 or lower15/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/19 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
13/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Won last time out
9/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/19 – Irish bred
6/19 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
6/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute

3.35 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Won over a mile before
16/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/19 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won a Group One race before
14/19 – Aged 4 years-old
14/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/19 – Winning favourites
11/19 – Having their first run of the season
10/19 – Unplaced last time out
5/19 – Godolphin owned
4/19 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/19 – Won by a mare
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/19 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/19 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/19 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Aspall Cyder 1728 Handicap Cl4 (3yo 0-85) 1m ITV

7/7 – Top 4 finish last time out
6/7 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
6/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Top 3 finish last time out
5/7 – Rated between 75-84 (inc)
5/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Came between stalls 6-10 (inc)
4/7 – Had won over a mile before
4/7 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 6 (2)
3/7 – Won last time out
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by an apprentice

2.40 – Aspall Suffolk Draught Cyder Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

19/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
16/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/19 – Had won over 6f before
15/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
13/19 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/19 – Rated between 91-96
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/19 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Won by a mare/filly
3/19 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-8
10 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 3-7
6 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 5-8
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2

3.15 – Aspall Blush Cyder Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

6/6 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
6/6 - Won over at least 7f before
6/6 - Won 2+ times before
6/6 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
5/6 - Placed favourites
5/6 - Rated between 85-91
5/6 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
4/6 - Didn’t win last time out
3/6 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/6 - Ridden by William Buick
1/6 - Winning favourites

 

 

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