Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with the LIVE ITV action this week coming from Chester, York and Haydock. As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.48 – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV

7/7 – Aged between 4-6
6/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/7 – Drawn in stalls 6 or higher
5/7 – Carried between 9-2 and 9-8 (inc)
5/7 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
2/7 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/7 – Ridden by Charles Bishop
2/7 – Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton
0/7 – Winning favourites
The average SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

2:23 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV

15/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
13/15 – Aged 5 or older
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
12/15 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
11/15 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
11/15 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
11/15 – Had run at the course before
10/15 – Won between 6-8 times before
9/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 8)
10 of the last 11 winners returned 9/1 or shorter
4 of the last 9 winners from stalls 5 (2) or 9 (2)
The last 12 winners came between stalls 2-10
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2020 running was staged at Doncaster

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

2:58 – Betfred Nifty 50 Lester Piggott Fillies’ Stakes (Reg as the Pinnacle Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

21/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
20/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Rated 92 or higher
18/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/22 – Aged 4 years-old
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/22 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/22 – Had run at Haydock before
6/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 6)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 9)
2/22 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/22 – Ridden by Tom Marquand (2 of the last 3)
The last 9 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
The last 11 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

3.33 - Betfred John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Rated 106 or higher
18/21 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
18/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had won over 7f before
17/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/21 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
13/21 – Favourites placed
14/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/21 – Had run at the track before
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 Co)
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 9)
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4-6
Kinross won this in 2021
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.10 – Roman Day Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

Only 1 previous running
Trainer Jennie Candlish won the race in 2024
Trainer Harriet Bethell has a 25% SR with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 22% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 6-165 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – William Hill More Top Prices Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

8/10 – Winning distance ¾ length or less
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/10 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/10 – Aged 4 years-old
3/10 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 7 went to horses aged 3 or 5
3 of the last 9 winners from stal 5
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

3.15 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old (3 each)
6/6 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
6/6 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
2/6 - Winning favourites
Trainers Ralph Beckett, Andrew Balding, Roger Varian, John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past
Trainer Tom Ward has a 67% SR (2/3) with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Term Of Endearment won the race last year (when trained by Henry de Bromhead)

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow