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Sat TV Tips and Stats: 25th May 24

Thursday, May 23, 2024

More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in nine races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.15 – Betfred Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV3

20/20 – Had won between 1-3 times before
19/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/20 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
18/20 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/20 – Placed last time out
16/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/20 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
12/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/20 – Trained by the Gosden yard (2 of the last 4)
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 5)
2/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 10)
David Probert has ridden 3 of the last 13 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

Surewin Best Bet: Blue Lemons
Surewin Danger: Volterra

1.50 –Betfred Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV3

20/21 – Trained in the UK
19/21 – Had won over 5f before
18/21 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/21 – Placed third or better last time out
13/21 – Raced within the last 2 months
13/21 – Favourites that were placed
13/21 – Had won a Group race before
9/21 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Won their latest race
2/21 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 9 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 5 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 7 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 11/2
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Just 3 of the last 19 winners aged 3

Surewin Best Bet: Vadream
Surewin Danger: Live In The Dream 

2.25 – Betfred Nify Fifty Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV3

17/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/18 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – From stall 5 or higher
13/18 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/18 – Raced at York last time
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/18 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 7)
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015

Surewin Best Bet: Vandeek
Surewin Danger: Purosangue

3.00 – Betfred Hattrick Heaven New Boston Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 7f ITV3

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Retuned 9/2 or less  
3/3 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-5 in weight
2/3 - Winning favourites
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
Charlie Fellowes, Clive Cox and Ed Walker are the past winning trainers

Surewin Best Bet: English Oak
Surewin Danger: Metabolt

3.30 – Betfred Nifty 50 Hell Nook Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV3

Just 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Winners aged 4 or 5
9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
9/9 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
8/9 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
8/9 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
7/9 – Rated between 89-98
7/9 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
2/9 – Trained by the Johnston yard
1/9 – Winning favourites (joint)
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Trainers John Quinn, William Haggas, Mark Johnston (2), Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison, Lucy Wadham & Andrew Balding were previous winners of the race

Surewin Best Bet: Yorkindness (e/w)
Surewin Danger: Nothing To Sea

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.30 - William Hill Harroways Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 7f ITV3

10/10 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
9/10 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 - returned between 9/2 to 12/1
6/10 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
6/10 – Winners from stall 2 or 3
5/10 – Won just once before
3/10 – Rated between 77-81
4/10 – Winners from stall 3
3/10 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/10 - Trained by Richard Hannon
2/10-  Winning favourites
David O’Meara, William Haggas, Richard Hannon (2), Johnston (3), Andrew Balding, William Muir and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 17/2

Surewin Best Bet: Qirat
Surewin Danger: The Camden Colt

2.05 – William Hill Height Of Fashion Stakes (Listed Race) (Cl1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV3

10/10 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/10 – Ran between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Yet to win over 1m2f
7/10 – Ran between 1-2 times
7/10 – Won between stalls 4-8 (inc)
7/10 – Had won just once before
6/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winners from stall 7
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

Surewin Best Bet: Regal Jubilee
Surewin Danger: Francophone

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.45 – William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 9 previous runnings
8/9 – Winning distance ¾ length or less
7/9 – Aged 5 or younger
7/9 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
3/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/9 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/9 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/9 – Aged 4 years-old
2/9 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

Surewin Best Bet: Democracy Dilemma
Surewin Danger: Brooklyn Nine Nine

3.20 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/5 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
5/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
2/45- Winning favourites
River Of Stars won the race in 2023
Trainers Ralph Beckett, Andrew Balding, Roger Varian, John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past

Surewin Best Bet: River Of Stars
Surewin Danger: Safety Catch 

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