Sat TV Tips and Stats: 14th June 25
More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Sandown, Chester & York this and as always here at SUREWIN we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.
Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
2.05 – Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog at betmgm.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Rated between 90-94
10/12 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
10/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Had won over 1m before
9/12 – Had run at the course before
8/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
4/12 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites (none in last 6)
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 8)
8 of the last 10 winners aged between 4-6
2 of the last 3 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
Surewin Best Bet: CLASSIC
Surewin Danger: ASTERVERDI
2.40 – BetMGM Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV
20/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
17/20 – Had won over 5f before
15/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/20 – Irish bred
11/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/20 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/20 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/20 – Trained by Michael Bell
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
The last 5 winners came between stalls 3-5 (inc)
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 4
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 3 (last 2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
Surewin Best Bet: HOLD A DREAM
Surewin Danger:TOWN AND COUNTRY
York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)
1.50 – Sky Bet Proud To Support Macmillan Handicap Cl2 7f ITV
Only 9 previous runnings
8/9 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/9 – Came from a single-figure stall
7/9 – Had raced at York before
6/9 – Rated between 90-99
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 – Won over 7f before
4/9 – Aged 4 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/9 – Came from stall 9
2/9– Winning favourites
Tolstoy (100/30 fav) won the race in 2024
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1
Surewin Best Bet: BLUE FOR YOU
Surewin Danger: OUR HAVANA
2.25 – Queen Mother´s Cup Handicap (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV
18/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Carried 9-11 or more
18/21 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
17/21– Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
17/21 – Aged 6 or younger
17/21 – Won from a single-figure stall
16/21 – Rated between 80-89
14/21 – Had run at York before
14/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
14/21 – Favourites placed in the top four
13/21 - Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/21 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/21 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/21 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
2/21 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
Serena Brotherton has ridden 2 of the last 10
Surewin Best Bet: CHILLINGHAM
Surewin Danger: FINANCER
3.00 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
16/17 – Officially rated 103 or higher
14/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/16 – Had raced in the last 2 months
14/16 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
14/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/16 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Ran at the track before
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winners from stall 1
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (2 of the last 7)
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 7 winners
6 of the last 7 winners drawn 3 or lower (3 from stall 1)
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Surewin Best Bet: ABSURDE
Surewin Danger: AL QAREEM
3.35 – Macmillan Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Rated between 87-97
13/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/19 – Irish bred
7/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 11 runnings)
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Clive Cox has won 2 of the last 3
Ryan Moore has ridden two of the last 3 (both for Clive Cox)
7 of the last 9 winners came from a single-figure draw (1-7)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Surewin Best Bet: MARCHOGION
Surewin Danger: DOUBLE RUSH
Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)
3.20 – Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) 7 1/2f ITV
Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Carried 8-11 or more
1/5 – Winning favourite
Richard Hannon, Charles Hills and Daniel/Claire Kubler have won the race before
Trainer Clive Cox is 2-6 (33%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
