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Sandown TV Tips and Stats - Saturday 26th April 25

Wednesday, April 23, 2025

It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends ……

Yes, a huge day ahead this Saturday as we end the jumps season with a cracking card at Sandown – four LIVE races on ITV, including the Bet365 Gold Cup - while there is also LIVE action at Haydock and Leicester – with their races are covered too.

So, put the odds in your favour – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, here at SUREWIN we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners.

 

Let’s get started!

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.20 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y RTV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years old
5/6 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Carried 10st 13lbs or more in weight
4/6 – Carried 11st 5lbs or more in weight
3/6 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/6 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/6 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling is just 1 from 45 (2%) with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen has a 26% SR riding over hurdles at the track

Best Bet: SORCELEUR
Danger: KIENTZHEIM

1.50 – bet365 Josh Gifford Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
9/10 – Had won over 2m4f+ before (fences)
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 0-2 times over fences before
8/10 – Aged 6 or 7
8/10 – Had run at Sandown before
7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
7/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
6/10 – Aged 7
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning distance a neck
2/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 27% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Ben Jones has a 31% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 24% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen is just 1 from 21 riding over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

Best Bet: RISKINTHEGROUND
Danger: BAD

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV4

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Trained by Hobbs (4), Henderson (2) or Nicholls (3)
8/10 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
7/10 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/10 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5 of the last 6 favourites have won
Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 5 runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 24% SR riding over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

Best Bet: PIC D'ORHY
Danger: GENTLEMAN DE MEE

3.00 – bet365 Select Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
8/10 – Won over at least 2m4f
7/10 – Rated 149 to 155
7/10 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/10 – Aged 7 or younger
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/10 – Had won at Sandown before
4/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/10 – Ridden by David Bass
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Trained by Kim Bailey
2/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Impaire Et Passe (4/5) won the race in 2024

Best Bet: LUCKY PLACE
Danger: TAKE NO CHANCES

3.35 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

21/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
21/21 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
19/21 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
18/21 – Aged 9 or younger
18/21 – Placed favourites
17/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
17/21 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
16/21 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
15/21 – Rated 160 or higher
11/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/21 – Winning favourite
9/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Irish bred
6/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 7 times in all)
6/21 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc 6 of last 8)
6/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/21 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (5 of the last 8)
3/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
Jonbon has won the last two runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/4
Trainer Alan King has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 24% SR riding over fences at the track

Best Bet: JONBON
Danger: ENERGUMENE

4.10 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV4

20/21 – Had raced in the last 63 days
18/21 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
17/21 – Had won over 3m or further before
17/21 – Aged 9 or younger
15/21 – Carried 11-0 or less
15/21 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/21 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
13/21 – Had raced in the last 26 days
11/21 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
5/21 – Won with 10st in weight
4/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/21– Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 total)
3/21 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/21 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/21– Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/21 – Ridden by Sean Bowen (2 of the last 9)
2/21 - Trained by Alan King (2 of last 5 winners)
1/21 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 13/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

Just 1 outright winning favourite (Mr Frisk) since 1991 (Kitty's Light, 2023)
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
12 of the last 17 winners aged 7 or 8
3 of the last 9 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys
25 of the last 33 (76%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 8 of the last 21 runnings (38%)
17 of the last 21 (81%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times

Best Bet: MINELLA COCOONER
Danger: TRANSMISSION

4:45 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Aged between 5-7
10/10 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 2-3 times before
8/10 – Carried 11-2 or more
7/10 – Favourites placed
5/10 – French bred
5/10 – Aged 6 years-old
5/10 – Rated between 135-137
5/10 – Top 4 finish last time out
5/10 - Had run at Sandown before (2 won)
2/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Won by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Won by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Won by Philip Hobbs
Willie Mullins won this race in 2016
Ike Sport won the race last year
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 26% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 23% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2-26 with his hurdlers at the trackjn

Best Bet: EAST INDIA EXPRESS
Danger: IKE SPORT

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2:40 – Try Unibet’s New Same Race Multis Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

10/11 – Won over 7f in the past
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
6/11 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
4/11 – Rated between 95-100 (inc)
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Trained by William Haggas
2/11 – Trained by John Quinn
9 of the last 10 winners aged between 4-6
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1
Trainer Simon & Ed Crisford has a 40% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Edward Bethell has a 21% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 2-50 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Jim Goldie is just 1-40 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

Best Bet: ENGLISH OAK
Danger: YORKSHIRE

 

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

Only two past runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 33% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby is just 5-from-81 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 1-21 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

Best Bet: SERGEANT WILKO
Danger: STRIKE RED

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