It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends ……

Yes, a huge day ahead this Saturday as we end the jumps season with a cracking card at Sandown – four LIVE races on ITV, including the Bet365 Gold Cup - while there is also LIVE action at Haydock and Leicester – with their races are covered too.

So, put the odds in your favour – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, here at SUREWIN we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners.

Let’s get started!

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged between 4-6 years old
5/5 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Carried 11st 5lbs or more in weight
3/5 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/5 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/5 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 4 from 52 (8%) with his hurdlers at the track

Best Bet: To Follow
Danger: To Follow

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV

9/9 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 - Trained by Hobbs (4), Henderson (1) or Nicholls (3)
7/9 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
7/9 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
6/9 – Winning favourites
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/9 – Ran at Aintree last time out
2/9 – Ridden by Bryony Frost
Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
Hewick (6/5 fav) won the race in 2023

Best Bet: To Follow
Danger: To Follow

3.00 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

20/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/20 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
18/20 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
17/20 – Aged 9 or younger
17/20 – Placed favourites
16/20 – Came from the top three in the betting
16/20 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
15/20 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
14/20 – Rated 160 or higher
11/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/20 – Winning favourite
8/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Irish bred
6/20 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 7 times in all)
6/20 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc 5 of last 7)
5/20 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/20 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (4 of the last 7)
3/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/20 – Irish-trained winners
Jonbon (8/13 fav) won the race last year
Greaneteen won the race in 2021 & 2022

Best Bet: To Follow
Danger: To Follow

2.15 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

19/20 – Had raced in the last 63 days
18/20 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
16/20 – Had won over 3m or further before
16/20 – Aged 9 or younger
15/20 – Carried 11-0 or less
14/20  - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/20 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
12/20 – Had raced in the last 25 days
11/20 – Finished 4^th or worse last time out
5/20 – Won with 10st in weight
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20– Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
3/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/20 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/20– Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/20 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
2/20 - Trained by Alan King (2 of last 4 winners)
1/20 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 13/1

Best Bet: To Follow
Danger: To Follow

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

Just 1 outright winning favourite since 1990 (Kitty's Light, 2023)
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
11 of the last 16 winners aged 7 or 8
25 of the last 32 (78%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 7 of the last 20 runnings (35%)
16 of the last 20 (80%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times
3 of the last 8 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys

Best Bet: To Follow
Danger: To Follow

4.45 – bet365 Josh Gifford Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f RTV

9/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/9 – Returned 15/ or shorter
8/9 – Had won over 2m4f+ before (fences)
7/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Won between 0-2 times over fences before
7/9 – Aged 6 or 7
7/9 – Had run at Sandown before
7/9 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
6/9 – Top 3 finish last time out
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Winning distance a neck
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/2

Best Bet: To Follow
Danger: To Follow

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

3.45 – Trustatrader Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

9/10 – Won over 7f in the past
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/10 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
4/10 – Rated between 95-100 (inc)
3/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
2/10 – Trained by John Quinn
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
Rainbow Fire won the race in 2023
Boardman won the race in 2022

Best Bet: To Follow
Danger: To Follow

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

Only one past running
Al Mubhir won the race in 2023
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2023
Trainer William Haggas is 2-from-4 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Stone has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 2-from-25 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

Best Bet: To Follow
Danger: To Follow