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Sandown TV Tips and Stats - Friday 22nd April 22

Friday, April 22, 2022

Plenty to look forward to this Friday as the ITV cameras head to Sandown Park for their opening day of their two-day mixed flat and jumps meeting. We get going on Friday (22nd April) with four LIVE flat races on the card that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV4

18/18 – Had won no more than twice before
16/18 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
16/18 – Never raced at Sandown before
14/18 – Had between 2-4 runs before
14/18 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
14/18 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had won just once before
11/18 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
11/18 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
11/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/18 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/18 – Trained by the Hannon stable
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1
2021 Winner: Naamoos (11/2)
Trainer: Mark Johnston

SUREWIN BEST BET: AL MARMAR
SUREWIN DANGER: WANEES

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

17/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/18 – Officially rated 109 or higher
16/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
14/18 – Had won a Group race before
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
8/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/18 – Irish bred
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint) (last 3 favs won)
6/18 – Had run at Sandown before
6/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
4/18 – Won last time out
3/18 - Ridden Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by James Doyle
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 3/1
2021 Winner: Waldkonig (6/4 fav)
Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

SUREWIN BEST BET: MOSTAHDAF
SUREWIN DANGER: FOXES TALES

3.00 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV4

16/17 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
14/17 – Had won over a mile before
13/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Trained by the Hannon stable
6/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/17 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
6/17 – Had run at Sandown before
5/17 – Previous Group One winners
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/17 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
3 of last 10 winners have come from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
2021 Winner: Palace Pier (4/11 fav)
Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

SUREWIN BEST BET: ALCOHOL FREE
SUREWIN DANGER: SUNRAY MAJOR

3.35 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

15/17 – Won between 1-3 times before
14/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Never raced at Sandown before
12/17 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
11/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
9/17 – Irish bred winners
8/17 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
8/17 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Winners from stall 4
3/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
2/17 – Winners from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
2021 Winner: Alenquer (25/1)
Trainer: William Haggas

SUREWIN BEST BET: GOLDSPUR
SUREWIN DANGER: FRANSTASTIC

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