Into DAY FIVE at  ROYAL ASCOT we've SEVEN more mouth-watering races to look forward to that include the Wokingham Stakes and Hardwicke Stakes, but all eyes will be on some of the best sprinters in the world as they line-up for the Group One Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes at 3.45.

Like all big race days here at SUREWIN we've got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Enjoy!

2024 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Saturday 24th June

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f ITV

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Snellen (12/1)
2022 – Holloway Boy (40/1)
2021 – Point Lonsdale (10/11 fav)
2020 – Battleground (11/4 fav)
2019 – Pinatubo (3/1)
2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

20/21 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
18/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/21 – Had just 1 previous career run
17/21 – Were foaled in March or earlier
16/21 – Ran over 6f last time out (10 won)
14/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Won their previous race
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/21 – Irish trained-winners (Aidan O’Brien, 4 of the last 8 winners)
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016, 2017, 2020 & 2021
15 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 1-8
7 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)
13 of the last 18 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

SUREWIN Best Bet: BEDTIME STORY
SUREWIN Danger: MOTAWAHHIJ

3.05 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Pyledriver (7/2)
2022 – Broome (6/1)
2021 – Wonderful Tonight (5/1)
2020 – Fanny Logan (17/2)
2019 – Defoe (11/4 fav)
2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

21/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
21/21 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
18/21 – Placed last time out
18/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/21 – Had run at Ascot before
Michael Stoute (7)
14/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
13/21 – Aged 4 years-old (inc 11 of last 13 winners)
13/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4), Johnston (2) or Sir
12/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Won their previous race
7/21 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
15 of the last 18 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
13 of the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
8 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)
Sir Michael Stoute has trained 11 winners in total

SUREWIN Best Bet: CONTINUOUS
SUREWIN Danger: DESERT HERO

3.45 – QEII Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f ITV

QEII Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Khaadem (80/1)
2022 – Naval Crown (33/1)
2021 – Dream Of Dreams (3/1 fav)
2020 – Hello Youmzain (4/1)
2019 – Blue Point (6/4 fav)
2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

QEII Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

19/21 – Previous distance (6f) winners
18/21 – Previous Group Race winners
16/21 – Aged 5 or younger
16/21 – Had run at Ascot before
15/21 – Failed to win their last race
14/21 – Won by a UK-based yard
10/21 – Returned a double-figure price
9/21 – Unplaced favourites
6/21 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
5/21 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/21 – Trained by James Fanshawe
8 of the last 19 winners were Irish-bred
10 of the last 19 winners came from a low-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
8 of the last 19 winners returned a double-figure price

SUREWIN Best Bet: SHARTASH
SUREWIN Danger: MILL STREAM 

4.25 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f ITV

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2023 – Age Of Kings (22/1)
2022 – Noble Truth (4/1 fav)
2021 – Creative Force (5/1 jfav)
2020 – Molatham (11/2)
2019 – Space Traveller (25/1)
2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

Jersey Stakes Trends

20/22 – Had at least 1 run already that season
18/22 – Had 4 or more career runs
13/22 – Had won over 7f before
13/22 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
11/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/22 – Had run at Ascot before
9/22 – Horses from stall 8 placed
8/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/22 – Won their previous race
5/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 wins in total)
2/22 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (5 wins in total)
2/22 – Trainer by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 3 runnings)
The Irish have won 4 of the last 12 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 16 runnings

SUREWIN Best Bet: RIVER TIBER
SUREWIN Danger: HAATEM

5.05 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f ITV4

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Saint Lawrence (22/1)
2022 – Rohaan (18/1)
2021 – Rohaan (8/1)
2020 – Hey Jonesy (18/1)
2019 – Cape Byron (7/2 fav)
2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

24/24 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
22/24 – Had no more than 4 runs that season­­
22/24 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
21/24 – Had won a race over 6f before
20/24 – Finished sixth or better last time out
20/24 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/24 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
15/24 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
15/24 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won here)
12/24 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
7/24 – Won their previous race
5/24 – Won by the favourite
12 of the last 18 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
10 of the last 18 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
14 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure draw
13 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall
10 of the last 13 runnings - the top 2 finishers both came from double-figure stalls

Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 4 of the last 12 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 9 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 34 winners returning a double-figure price

SUREWIN Best Bet: HARRY THREE
SUREWIN Danger: SAINT LAWRENCE

5.40 - Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Just the 4 previous runnings
Burdett Road (20/1) won this race in 2023
Missed the Cut (5/2 fav) won this race in 2022
Foxes Tales (13/2) won this race in 2021
Highland Chief (20/1) won this race in 2020
Trainer George Boughey won this race in 2022
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2021
Trainer Paul and Oliver Cole won this race in 2020
All 3 winners came between stalls 13-16 (inc)

SUREWIN Best Bet: HAND OF GOD
SUREWIN Danger: PRIMO LARA

6.15 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y ITV4

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Dawn Rising (2/1 fav)
2022 – Stratum (10/1)
2021 – Stratum (4/1)
2020 – Who Dares Wins (Evs fav)
2019 – Cleonte (7/2)
2018 – Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

18/21 – Finished unplaced last time out
13/21 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
13/21 – Had run at Ascot before
11/21 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
9/21 – Won by a NH yard
8/21 – Irish-trained winners
5/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/21 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
2/21 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
13 of the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
13 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
12 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall

SUREWIN Best Bet: DAWN RISING
SUREWIN Danger: POSTILEO