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Newmarket TV Trends and Tips: Fri 23rd Sept 2022

Friday, September 23, 2022

Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.50 – Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

11/11 – Had won over 1m before
11/11 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times before
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7/11 – Aged 3 years-old
6/11 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/11 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
3/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/11 – Trained by William Haggas
2/11 -Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/11 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013 and 2020
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016

SUREWIN BEST BET: CRYSTAL CAPRICE
SUREWIN DANGER: WHITEBEAM

 

2.25 – Princess Royal Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

15/17 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
14/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/17 – Aged 3 years-old
10/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
The horse from stall 12 has won 3 of the last 9 runnings
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 10 runnings

SUREWIN BEST BET: ETERNAL PEARL
SUREWIN DANGER: SEA SILK ROAD

 

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

17/18 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
15/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time
16/18  – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/18 – Won by a March or April born foal
10/18 – Placed favourites
9/18 – Won over 7f before
8/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 6 winners)
2/18 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/18 – Won by the Hills yard
2/18 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/18 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/18 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
9 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)

SUREWIN BEST BET: COMMISSIONING
SUREWIN DANGER: OLIVIA MARALDA

 

3.35 – Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

17/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/18 – Officially rated between 111-118
15/18 – Had won a Group race before
14/18 – Had won over 1m before
13/18 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Failed to win last time out
13/18 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/18 – Won 4 or less times before
12/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (5 won)
10/18 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Aged 4 years-old
4/18 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
4/18 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
4/18 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 7 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/18 - Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 10)
2/18 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
Benbatl won this race in 2019 and 2021
The last 7 winners were drawn in 6 or lower

SUREWIN BEST BET: POTAPOVA
SUREWIN DANGER: POGO

 

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