• 1st Class Customer Service
  • UK Based Company
  • Secure Website

Newmarket Tips and Trends (Fri 7th Oct 22)

Thursday, October 6, 2022

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 8th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis, Oh So Sharp and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV)

 

1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV4

17/19 – Had won over 5f previously
14/19 – Won at least twice or more before
14/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
14/19 – Rated 98 or more
14/19 – Ran within the last 30 days
14/19 – Had raced 5 or more times
13/19 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
13/19 – Foaled in March or later
11/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
11/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/19 – Filly winners
7/19 – Raced at Ayr last time out
7/19 – Won their last race
6/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3/19 – Ridden by Richard Kingscote
2 of the last 8 winners trained by Jonathan Portman
2 of the last 13 winners trained by Kevin Ryan
2 of the last 13 winners ridden by Jamie Spencer
2 of the last 5 winners came from stall 3
4 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 3 or lower

SUREWIN BEST BET: PRINCE OF PILLO
SUREWIN DANGER: CRISPY CAT

2.25 – Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

17/18 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
17/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/18 – Had between 1-2 wins already
16/18 – Had between 1-3 career runs
15/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Won last time out
14/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/18 – Foaled in March or later
12/18 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
11/18 – Had won over 7f or further before
9/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 5 winners)
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 8)
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 7)

SUREWIN BEST BET: LOSE YOURSELF
SUREWIN DANGER: BELIEVING

 

3.00 – Thoroughbred Industry Employee Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4

19/19 – Won a Listed or Group race previously
19/19 – Won over 7f previously
19/19 – Raced 3 or more times that season
17/19 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
16/19 – Won 3 or more times previously
16/19 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
15/19 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
15/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/19 – Officially rated 113 or higher
13/19 – Priced 7/1 or lower
11/19 – Placed in their last race
10/19 – Favourites placed
8/19 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
7/19 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (4) last time out
6/19 – Won their previous race
6/19 - Favourites that won
2/19 – Trained by Henry Candy
1/19 – Filly/Mare winners
Frankie Dettori has ridden 2 of the last 7 winners

SUREWIN BEST BET: SACRED
SUREWIN DANGER: POGO

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV4

18/18 - Finished in the first three last time out
18/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
17/18 - Yet to win a Group 1
16/18 – Finished in the first two last time out
16/18 – Foaled in Feb or later
16/18 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
14/18 – Had won between 2-3 times before
14/18 – Favourites that finished in the top three
13/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Had won a Group race before
11/18 - Foaled in Feb or March
9/18 - Winning favourites (or joint)
8/18 - Raced at Doncaster last time out
7/18 – Irish-trained winners
7/18 – Irish bred
4/18 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/18 – US bred
3/18 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5 of the last 8 winners have been Irish-trained

SUREWIN BEST BET: COMMISSIONING
SUREWIN DANGER: POLLY POTT

4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV4

8 previous runnings
7/8 – Had won at least twice before
6/8 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
5/8 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/8 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
5/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
3/8 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/8 – Ridden by William Buick
2/8 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/8 – Came from stall 17
2/8 – winning favourites

SUREWIN BEST BET: FIRST RULER
SUREWIN DANGER: LA YAKEL

 

================================================

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM

GET THE BEST DAILY TRAINER INFO FROM 17 TOP STABLES - Sent direct to your in-box!

FIND OUT MORE HERE

==================================================

 

 

 

Related Posts