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Newmarket July Meeting Trends and Tips: Thurs 7th July 2022

Wednesday, July 6, 2022

The three-day 2022 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (8th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

On day one the Group Two July Stakes and Prince of Wales's Stakes are the key contests - did you know that a 4 year-old has won 11 of the last 15 Prince Of Wales's Stakes?  

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

Enjoy!

 

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Newmarket July Meeting - Day One, Thursday 7th July 2022

 

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

20/20 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
17/20 – Failed to win last time out
16/20 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
12/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
12/20 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
12/20 – Favourites placed in the top three
12/20 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/20 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
6/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 11 runnings)
3/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 – Ridden by William Buick
2/20 – Winners that came from stall 1

SUREWIN BEST BET: MASEKELA
SUREWIN DANGER:  DEAUVILLE LEGEND

 

2.25 – Close Brothers July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

19/20 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
18/20 – Placed in their last run
17/20 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
15/20 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
12/20 – Won their last race
11/20 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
10/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
10/20 – Unplaced favourites
7/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/20 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 5 winners in the race

SUREWIN BEST BET: LITTLE BIG BEAR
SUREWIN DANGER:  MYSTERIOUS NIGHT

 

3.00 – Bet Boost At Bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won no more than 3 times before
14/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
13/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/16 – Came from a double-figure stall
11/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
4/16 – Ridden by David Probert
0/16 – Winning favourites

SUREWIN BEST BET: DEODAR
SUREWIN DANGER: INGRA TOR

 

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Close Brothers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

18/20 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 11 of last 14)
18/20 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
16/20 – Had 2 or more runs that season
16/20 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
14/20 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
14/20 – Unplaced in their previous race
11/20 – Favourites that were placed
10/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
5/20 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings

SUREWIN BEST BET: YIBIR
SUREWIN DANGER: MOSTAHDAF

 

 

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