Here at SUREWIN we take you through the LIVE ITV races on the third and final day of the 2023 Newmarket July Meeting this Saturday (^15th July).

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.15 - Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f

14/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
13/14 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
11/14  - Had won over at least 7f before
10/14 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
10/14 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
8/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
4/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/14 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/14 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/14 – Winning favourites

2.50 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

19/21 – Had won over 7f or further previously
17/21 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
16/21 – Had 2 or more runs that season
11/21 – Unplaced in their last race
9/21 – Favourites unplaced
9/21 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
5/21 – Won their last race
5/21 – Winning Favourites
2/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 5)
The Richard Hannon yard have won 3 of the last 10 runnings

3.25 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Won over at least 6f previously
19/21 – Placed in their last race
18/21 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
16/21 – Won their latest race
14/21 – Won by either a March or April foal
13/21 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
11/21 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
10/21 – Favourites unplaced
6/21 – Winning Favourites
4/21 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/21 – Winners from stall 3
5/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 9 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Mick Channon
3/21 - Ridden by William Buick
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 4 of the last 7 runnings

4.00 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

20/21 – Won over 7f previously
19/21 – Raced 3 or more times that season
15/21 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/21 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/21 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
10/21 – Placed in their last race
10/21 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/21 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1^st, 2^nd and 3^rd
4/21 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
4/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 12 winners came from double-figure draws
Motakhayyel won the race in 2020 and 2021

4.35 – Pertemps Network July Cup Stakes (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2022     Alcohol Free (14/1)
2021     Starman (9/2)
2020     Oxted (12/1)
2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011    Dream Ahead (7/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

20/21 – Aged 5 or younger
19/21 – Had won over 6f before
17/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
16/21 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
16/21 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
16/21 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
12/21 – Placed last time out
10/21 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or QEII Jubilee Stakes
10/21 – Unplaced favourites
8/21 – Won their previous race
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 5 winners)
3/21 – Filly winners
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 5)
2/21 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/21 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 7/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)