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Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Sat 4th Jan 2025

Monday, December 30, 2024

Another big day for the ITV horse racing cameras as they move to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage.

Like every Saturday, here at SUREWIN we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – Read Nicky Henderson’s Weekly Unibet Blog Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f ITV

9/9 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Aged 8 or younger
6/9 – Carried 11-8 or more
3/9 – Aged 6 years-old
2/9 – Winning favourites
Note: This Sandown meeting was abandoned 12 months ago

Best Bet: Roccovango
Danger:
Hunter Legend

2.25 - Try Unibet’s New Smartview Racecards Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

9/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/9 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times before
5/9 – Winning favourites
5/9 – Had run at Sandown before
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 3)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4
The last 5 winners aged 6 or 7

Best Bet: Aston Martini
Danger:
Della Casa Lunga

3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (2024 Veterans´Chase Series Final) Cl2 3m37y ITV

Just 8 previous runnings
Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams (2), Charlie Longsdon, David Pipe, Sandy Thomson and Mel Rowley are past winners
8/8 – Ran in last 5 weeks
8/8 – Aged 10-13
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
6/8 – 4+ wins over fences
5/8 – Winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
5/8 – Priced in double-figures
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Officially rated between 135-145
2/8 – Winning favourite (joint)
Two of the last 4 winners ridden by claimers
Sam Brown won the race in 2024

Best Bet: Sam Brown
Danger:
Eldorado Allen

3.35 – Free Bet With Unibet’s Betbuilder Rebound Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

16/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
15/18 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/18 – Unplaced last time out
12/18 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/18 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
8/18 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/18 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 7)
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Irish bred
2/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/18 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 6)
4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
7 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Hardy Du Seuil won this in 2023

Best Bet: Navajo Indy
Danger:
Hardy Du Seuil

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.33 – Read Nico De Boinvilles Unibet Blog Handicap Chase (Challenger Staying Chase Series Qualifier) Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 3m1f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 1-from-30 with her chasers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs & Johnson White is 0-from-14 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 20% strike-rate riding over fences at the track

Best Bet: Take Your Time
Danger:
In d'Or

2.40 – Unibet Middle Distance Veteran’s Handicap Chase (Unibet Middle Distance Veteran’s Chase Qualifier) Cl3 (9yo+ 0-135) 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 30% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Jeremy Scott has a 24% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 1-from-30 with her chasers at the track

Best Bet: Red Rookie
Danger:
Quel Destin

3.15 – Wincanton Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

7/7 – Carried 10-12 or more
7/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Won between 1-2 times hurdles
5/7 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
5/7 – Carried 11-7 or more
5/7 – Won over 2m4f+ before
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
4/7 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by a claiming jockey

Best Bet: Kado De Joie
Danger:
Nordic Tiger

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