Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Sat 9th August 2025
More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in nine races across the three venues.
We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.
As always, here at SUREWIN, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.
Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)
1:35 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV
14/16 – Failed to win their last race
14/16 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
14/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
14/16 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/16 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Won at least 3 times in their career
9/16 – Had won over 5f previously
8/16 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
7/16 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
6/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/16 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 10 runnings)
3/16 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox (including 2 of the last 6)
7 of the last 9 winners aged 3-5
Dream Composer was third in last 2 runnings
SureWin Best Bet: DREAM COMPOSER
SureWin Danger: SEVEN QUESTIONS
2:10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV
18/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Carried 8-13 or more
18/20 – Didn’t win last time out
17/20 – Rated between 86-95
16/20 – Had raced at the track before
16/20 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
13/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/20 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (7) last time out
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by the Charlton yard
2/20 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/20 – Won last time out
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
5 of the last 14 winners came from stall 9
The last 8 winners carried 9-2 or more
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 7 of the last 16 runnings
SureWin Best Bet: ALMUHIT
SureWin Danger: ARTISAN DANCER
2:45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV
19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
18/20 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
17/20 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
17/20 – Won between 1-4 times previously
17/20 – Officially rated between 87-94
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/20 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
8/20 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Won by the Cole yard
2/20 – Favourites that won
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
3 of the last 6 winners from stall 1 (last 2)
4 of the last 18 winners came from stall 5
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
Insanity (9/2) won the race last year
SureWin Best Bet: CLAYMORE
SureWin Danger: CANDYMAN STAN
3:20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV
20/20 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
18/20 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
18/20 – Won over 6f previously
17/20 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
17/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
15/20 – Won between 2-3 times previously
14/20 – Officially rated between 86-95
14/20 – Came from the top three in the betting market
14/20 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/20 – Favourites placed
8/20 – Had run at Ascot previously
7/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Winning Favourites
3/20 – Won by the Charlton yard
8 of the last 9 winners carried 9-5 or more
4 of the last 5 favourites won
4 of the last 5 winners drawn between 9-12 (inc)
7 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
4 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 12
SureWin Best Bet: MARCHOGION
SureWin Danger: DYONISOS
3:55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV
14/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/15 – Officially rated between 84-92
11/15 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
7/15 – Favourites placed
4/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 5)
4/15 – Favourites that won
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 5 and 9
8 of the last 9 winners between stalls 6-9
SureWin Best Bet: TENABILITY
SureWin Danger: TOPTEAM
4:30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV
19/20 – Won over at least a mile before
19/20 – Failed to win last time out
19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
19/20 – Rated between 92-100
19/20 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
18/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Won between 2-4 times before
15/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/20 – Had run at Ascot before
5/20 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Only 3 of the last 18 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 8 winners came from stall 12
14 or the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5 of the last 6 winners came between stalls 9-12 (inc)
SureWin Best Bet: TREASURE TIME
SureWin Danger: GOLDEN MIND
Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)
2:25 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV
13/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times
9/14 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/14 – Rated between 94-100
7/14 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/14 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Trained by Roger Varian
6 of the last 7 winners aged 4
4 of the last 5 winners were drawn 1 or 2
SureWin Best Bet: PROTEST
SureWin Danger: SUNFALL
3:00 – Betfred Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV
20/22 – Aged 5 or younger
20/22 – Officially rated 105 or higher
18/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Won over 1m2f or further
17/22 – Run 3 or more times that season
17/22 – Yet to run at Haydock
16/22 – Won 3 or more times during their career
16/22 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
16/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
15/22 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Won a Listed or better class race before
14/22 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
14/22 – Raced at Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/22 – Finished unplaced in their last race
8/22 – Favourites that won (4 of the last ^)
3/22 – Won by Johnston yard
The last 6 winners from stalls 2-6
Trainer Owen Burrows has won 2 of the last 3
Jockey Jim Crowley has won the last 3 runnings
Anmaat won the race in 2022 and 2024
SureWin Best Bet: ROYAL DUBAI
SureWin Danger: MILITARY ORDER
Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)
3:40 – Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV
19/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
20/22 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
19/22 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
19/22 – Won just once previously
18/22 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
18/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/22 – Had won over only 6f previously
14/22 – Favourites placed
12/22 – Raced at Newmarket (8) or Sandown (4) last time out
11/22 – Raced at Newmarket (July Course) previously
11/22 – Won their last race
10/22 – Favourites that won
8/22 – Yet to win over 7f
8/22 – Had just one previous run
5/22 – Won by Godolphin
3/22 – Trained by the Hills stable
The Johnston yard has won 4 of the last 10 runnings (5 in total, most)
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
7 of the last 18 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (5) or 2nd (2)
