This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock - Did you know that 18 of the last 22 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 17 of the last 22 came from stalls 5 or higher?

Here at SUREWIN we are on hand with all the key trends and stats - use these to help find the best winning profiles of past winners.

Saturday 7th September 2024

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

18/20 – Won over 1m or further before
17/20 – Won 3 or more times before
17/20 – Winning distance 1 length or more
15/20 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had 3 or more runs that season
14/20 – Had won a Listed or better race before
11/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
7/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Had won at Haydock before
3/20 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/20 – Trained by Brian Ellison
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
4 of the last 6 winners came from stall 2
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4 or lower

SUREWIN BEST BET: WITCH HUNTER
SUREWIN DANGER: CICERO'S GIFT

1:50 – Betfair Plays Different Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

14/15 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
14/15 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Rated between 81-90 (inc)
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/15 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
9/15 – Irish Bred
8/15 – Ran at either York (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
6/15 – Placed favourites
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 8)
2/15– Trained by Johnston yard (2 of the last 12)

SUREWIN BEST BET: CONTACTO
SUREWIN DANGER: ROAD TO WEMBLEY

2:25 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

20/21 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
20/21 – Had won at least twice before
19/21 – Had run 4 or more times that season
17/21 – Rated 90 to 101
16/21 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
15/21 – Finished 4th or better last time out
14/21 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
12/21 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
13/21 – Had run over 1m6f before
12/21 – Ran at Haydock before
11/21 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/21 – Ran at York last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/21 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/21 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/21 – Trained by Heather Main

SUREWIN BEST BET: ONEFORTHEGUTTER
SUREWIN DANGER: KNIGHTSWOOD

3:00 Betfair Be Friendly Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

17/20 – Previous winners over 5f
15/20 – Had won 4 or more times before
15/20 – Rated 90+
13/20 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
13/20 – Had run at Haydock before (4 won)
13/20 – Unplaced last time out
13/20 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
13/20 – Had 8 or more previous runs that season
12/20 – Winning distance - 1 length or less
9/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/20 – Carried 8-11 or less
8/20 – Placed favourites
3/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Tim Easterby

SUREWIN BEST BET: EQUALITY
SUREWIN DANGER: AMERICAN AFFAIR

3.35 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

20/22 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
19/22 – Had won over 6f before
18/22 – Rated 111 or higher
18/22 - Aged 5 or younger
17/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
17/22 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
17/22 – Didn’t win their previous race
17/22 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
15/22 – Had won a Group race before
15/22 – Winning distance 1 length or less
14/22 –Had 4 or more runs that season
12/22 – Ran at Deauville (5) or York (7) last time out
11/22 – Had run at Haydock before (5 had won)
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/22 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/22 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/22 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 13 winners aged 3 years-old
7 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 4-8
2/22 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/22 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 17/2

SUREWIN BEST BET: KIND OF BLUE
SUREWIN DANGER: ELITE STATUS

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (Sky Racing/ITV)

1:35 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

13/13– Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
12/13 – Had won over 7f before
12/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had run at the course before
11/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Won by a claiming jockey (6 of the last 9)
6/13 – Had between 4-7 wins already
5/13 – Rated between 95-97
4/13 – Aged 5 years-old
2/13 – Winners from stall 12
0/13 – Winning favourites
Quinault (8/1) won the race in 2023
Fresh (11/2) won the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: FRESH
SUREWIN DANGER: MISS INFORMATION

2:10 – Chapel Downs Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

12/14 – Rated between 84-95
12/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/14 – Had won just once before
7/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Horses placed from stall 10
6/14 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
6/14 – Horses placed from stall 8
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
4/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Trained by Roger Varian
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas (last 2)
2/14 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
Alsakib (5/1) won the race in 2023
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

SUREWIN BEST BET: FRENCH DUKE
SUREWIN DANGER: KAMBOO

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2:35 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
13/18 – Didn’t win last time out
12/18 – Had won over 1m4f before (or further)
12/18 – Had won between 4-7 times before
12/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/18 – Had run at Kempton before
10/18 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Aged 4 years-old
5/18 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/18 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 8)
4/18 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/18 – Winners from stall 2
3/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Winners from stall 1

SUREWIN BEST BET: KALPANA
SUREWIN DANGER: LION'S PRIDE

3:15 - Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap Cl2(3yo+) 1m ITV

17/17 – Had run at Kempton before
15/17 – Had won over a mile before
14/17 – Won between 3-7 times before
11/17 – Unplaced favourites
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/17 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
6/17 – Rated between 77-85
6/17 – Ran at Kempton last time out
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 14 (3) or 16 (2)
Helm Rock (9/2) won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: KILT
SUREWIN DANGER: HELM ROCK