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Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Sat 12th August 2023

Wednesday, August 9, 2023

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in nine races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, here at SUREWIN, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

1:35 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

14/14 – Failed to win their last race
13/14 – Raced at Ascot previously
13/14 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
13/14 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Won at least 3 times in their career
8/14 – Had won over 5f previously
7/14 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
6/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/14 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 8 runnings)
3/14 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox (including 2 of the last 4)
Tis Marvellous won the race in 2021 and 2018

2:10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

16/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Carried 8-13 or more
15/18 – Rated between 86-94
15/18 – Had raced at the track before
14/18 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
12/18 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/18 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (7) last time out
10/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/18 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/18 – Won last time out
No winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
4 of the last 13 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 7 of the last 15 runnings
Themaxwecan won the race in 2022

2:45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/18 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
15/18 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
15/18 – Won between 1-4 times previously
15/18 – Officially rated between 87-94
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/18 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
6/18 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/18 – Favourites that won
Pride Of Priory won the race in 2022
One winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
4 of the last 16 winners came from stall 5
11 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

3:20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

18/18 – Won over at least a mile before
17/18 – Failed to win last time out
17/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/18 – Rated between 92-100
17/18 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
16/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/18 – Won between 2-4 times before
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/18 – Had run at Ascot before
4/18 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Jungle Cove won the race in 2022
3 of the last 16 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 12
13 or the last 17 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

3:55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

12/13 – Raced 3 or more times that season
11/13 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
10/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
10/13 – Officially rated between 84-90
7/13 – Favourites placed
4/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
4/13 – Favourites that won
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

4:30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

18/18 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
16/18 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
16/18 – Won over 6f previously
15/18 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/18 – Won between 2-3 times previously
12/18 – Officially rated between 86-95
12/18 – Came from the top three in the betting market
12/18 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/18 – Favourites placed
7/18 – Had run at Ascot previously
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning Favourites
3/18 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
6 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 12

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

 

2:25 – Betfred ‘Play Fred’s £5 Million Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m ITV4

12/12 - Carried 9-0 or more
12/12 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 - Aged 3 or 4 years old
11/12 - Won between 1-3 times before
11/12 - Didn’t win last time out
10/12 - Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
10/12 - Previous winners over 1m
9/12 - Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 - Carried between 9-0 and 9-6 in weight
9/12 - Drawn between stalls 3-6 (inc)
8/12 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/12 - Rated between 81 and 89 (inc)
7/12 - Aged 4 years-old
7/12 - Irish bred
4/12 - Had run at the track before
3/12 - Winning favourites
2/12 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute

3:00 – Betfred Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

20/20 – Aged 5 or younger
18/20 – Officially rated 105 or higher
16/20 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
16/20 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
16/20 – Yet to run at Haydock
16/20 – Favourites placed
16/20 – Won over 1m2f or further
16/20 – Run 3 or more times that season
14/20 – Won 3 or more times during their career
14/20 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
13/20 – Won a Listed or better class race before
13/20 – Raced at Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
13/20 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/20 – Finished unplaced in their last race
6/20 – Favourites that won
3/20 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/20 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard

 

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

3:40 – Molson Coors Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

18/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
18/20 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
17/20 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
17/20 – Won just once previously
16/20 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
16/20 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/20 – Had won over only 6f previously
12/20 – Favourites placed
11/20 – Raced at Newmarket (July Course) previously
11/20 – Raced at Newmarket (7) or Sandown (4) last time out
10/20 – Won their last race
8/20 – Yet to win over 7f
8/20 –  Favourites that won
7/20 – Had just one previous run
5/20 – Won by Godolphin
3/20 – Trained by the Hills stable
The Johnston yard has won 4 of the last 9 runnings
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
6 of the last 16 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (4) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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