This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock - Did you know that 17 of the last 21 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 16 of the last 21 came from stalls 5 or higher?

Here at SUREWIN we are on hand with all the key trends and stats - use these to help find the best winning profiles of past winners.

Saturday 9th September 2023

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV3

17/19 – Won over 1m or further before
16/19 – Won 3 or more times before
16/19 – Winning distance 1 length or more
14/19 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Had 3 or more runs that season
13/19 – Had won a Listed or better race before
11/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Had won at Haydock before
3/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Trained by Brian Ellison
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
4 of the last 5 winners came from stall 2
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 4 or lower

SUREWIN BEST BET: LIGHT INFANTRY
SUREWIN DANGER: ZOOLOGY

2.25 – Get Daily Rewards With Betfair Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV3

13/14 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
13/14 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated between 81-90 (inc)
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/14 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
8/14 – Irish Bred
8/14 – Ran at either York (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
6/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 7)
2/14 – Trained by Johnston yard (2 of the last 11)

SUREWIN BEST BET: DENMARK
SUREWIN DANGER: LORDSHIP

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV3

19/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
19/20 – Had won at least twice before
18/20 – Had run 4 or more times that season
16/20 – Rated 90 to 101
15/20 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
15/20 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/20 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
12/20 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
12/20 – Had run over 1m6f before
11/20 – Ran at Haydock before
10/20 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/20 – Ran at York last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/20 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/20 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/20 – Trained by Heather Main
Island Brave (10/1) won the race in 2021 and 2022
Euchen Glen (14/1) won this race in 2020

SUREWIN BEST BET: CAIUS CHORISTER
SUREWIN DANGER: EUCHEN GLEN

3.35 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV3

19/21 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
18/21 – Rated 111 or higher
18/21 – Had won over 6f before
17/21 - Aged 5 or younger
17/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
16/21 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
16/21 – Didn’t win their previous race
16/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
15/21 – Had won a Group race before
14/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
14/21 –Had 4 or more runs that season
11/21 – Ran at Deauville (5) or York (6) last time out
11/21 – Ran at Deauville (5) or York (6) last time out
10/21 – Had run at Haydock before (4 had won)
10/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/21 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/21 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/21 – Winning favourites
50% of the last 12 winners aged 3 years-old
7 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 4-8
2/21 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/21 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/21 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 17/2

SUREWIN BEST BET: SHAQUILLE
SUREWIN DANGER: MILL STREAM

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.35 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV3

12/12 – Had won over 7f before
12/12 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
11/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Had run at the course before
10/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Won by a claiming jockey (5 of the last 8)
5/12 – Had between 4-7 wins already
4/12 – Rated between 95-97
4/12 – Aged 5 years-old
2/12 – Winners from stall 12
0/12 – Winning favourites
Fresh (11/2) won the race in 2022
Top Secret (5/1) won the race in 2021

SUREWIN BEST BET: QUINAULT
SUREWIN DANGER: TOP SECRET

3.10 - Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV3

11/13 – Rated between 84-95
11/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/13 – Had won just once before
7/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Horses placed from stall 10
6/13 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
6/13 – Horses placed from stall 8
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price
5/13 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
4/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Trained by Roger Varian
3/13 – Trained by William Haggas (last 2)
2/13 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

SUREWIN BEST BET: VICTORY DANCE
SUREWIN DANGER: OVERACTIVE

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.35 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

16/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f before (or further)
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
12/17 – Didn’t win last time out
11/17 – Had won between 4-7 times before
11/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/17 – Had run at Kempton before
9/17 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
5/17 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/17 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 7)
4/17 – Godolphin-owned runners
3/17 – Winners from stall 2
3/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Winners from stall 1

SUREWIN BEST BET: ISRAR
SUREWIN DANGER: BAY BRIDGE

2.10 - Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap Cl2(3yo+) 1m ITV3

16/16 – Had run at Kempton before
14/16 – Had won over a mile before
13/16 – Won between 3-7 times before
11/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
6/16 – Rated between 77-85
6/16 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 14 (3) or 16 (2)
First View (7/2 fav) won the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: FIRST VIEW
SUREWIN DANGER: BALTIMORE BOY