Some nice winners last week for the Saturday TV trends & tips so hoping for more of the same this weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket, Ascot and Redcar to take in 8 LIVE races.

At Redcar, we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage. Then at Ascot, we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the big fields – So, let’s get going!

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)

1.15 – McGee Group British EBF October Stakes (Listed Race) (C1) (3yo+) 7f

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Between stalls 3-7
8/10 – Won over 7f before
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 -Irish bred
4/10 – Had won at Ascot before
3/10 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 8)
3/10 – Stall 7
2/10 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 7)
2/10 – Winning favourites
Sunfall won the race in 2024

SUREWIN BEST BET: SUNFALL 
SUREWIN DANGER: BRIGHT THUNDER 

1.50 – BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

20/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
20/20 – Won over 5f before
19/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20– Rated 101 or higher
15/20 – Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Had won between 3-7 times before
12/20 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/20 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
9/20 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/20 – Irish bred
4/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Bryan Smart
320 – Trained by Michael Dods (3 of last 7 runnings)
3/20 – Won last time out
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Rumstar won the race in 2024
16 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 11 or lower

SUREWIN BEST BET: BEAUTIFUL DIAMOND 
SUREWIN DANGER: CANDY 

2.25 – BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

21/22 - Finished fourth or better last time out
19/22 – Placed favourites
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/22 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/22 – Won at Listed or Group class before
17/22 – Had raced at the course before (8 won)
15/22 – Had won 4 or more times before
13/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/22 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
12/22 – Favourites to win
12/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Karl Burke (last 2)
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
Al Qareem won the race in 2023 and 2024
Hamish won the race in 2022
8 of the last 10 winners drawn between 2-7
14 of the last 16 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 12 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

SUREWIN BEST BET: HAMISH 
SUREWIN DANGER: AL QAREEM 

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Won over 6f previously
16/16 – Officially rated 100 or higher
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Raced 6 or more times that season
6/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Favourites to win
3/16 – Returned a double-figure price
2/16 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Charlton yard
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 6 & 8
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
Apollo One won the race in 2024
8 of the last 10 drawn between 3-8
6 of the last 10 from gates 5, 6 or 8 (2 each)
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 8 of the last 13 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5, 6 and 7 have won 9 of the last 13 runnings

SUREWIN BEST BET: QUINAULT 
SUREWIN DANGER: CELANDINE 

3.35 – BetMGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

20/22– Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/22 – Won over 7f previously
17/22 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
17/22 – Raced at Ascot previously
15/22 – Had raced within the last 30 days
14/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/22 – Raced 7 or more times that season
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price
8/22 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/22 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/22 – Favourites that won
2/22 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/22 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/22 – Won their previous race
0/22 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 14 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
13 of the last 14 winners were aged 6 or younger
8 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
2 of the last 6 winners came from stall 17

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

SUREWIN BEST BET: NATIVE WARRIOR 
SUREWIN DANGER: DOSMAN 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Racing TV)

1.30 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

Just 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 3 or 4
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Favourites placed in the first three
6/9 – Carried 9st or more
6/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Didn’t win last time out
4/9 – Won just once before
5/9 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Roger Varian

SUREWIN BEST BET: BLESSED STAR 
SUREWIN DANGER: WONDER STAR

2.05 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

Just 10 previous runnings
10/10 – Foaled Feb or later
9/10 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10– Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
6/10 – Won from a double-figure draw
5/10 – Rated between 79-85
5/10 – Won just one before
4/10 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
2/10 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 9 winners foaled in March or April
4 of the last 9 winners went to a filly

SUREWIN BEST BET: HALF SOVEREIGN 
SUREWIN DANGER: JELL PEPPER 

2.40 – BetMGM Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

19/21 – Had won over at least 1m before
18/21 – Previous Group winners
15/21 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
14/21 – Won between 3-5 times before
14/21 – Rated between 113 and 119
14/21 – Previous Group One winners
11/21 – Aged 3 years-old
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 co)
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Raced at Deauville last time out
6/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/21 – French-trained winners
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 9)
2/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
17 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 19 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 15
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5 runnings (3 in total)
Tamfana won the race in 2024

SUREWIN BEST BET: FALLEN ANGEL 
SUREWIN DANGER: CINERELLA'S DREAM 

3.50 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap (Cl2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

9/9 – Aged 3 or 5
8/9 – Between stalls 2-8
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/9 – Trained by William Haggas

SUREWIN BEST BET: ORIONIS 
SUREWIN DANGER: HOT FLAME 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.20 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

20/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/23 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
17/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/23 – Had won over 6f before
12/23 – Foaled in March or later
11/23 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Won last time out
6/23 – Filly winners
6/23 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/23 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 8
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-8 (inc)

SUREWIN BEST BET: SONG OF THE CLYDE 
SUREWIN DANGER: ARDISIA