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Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Sat 31st Aug 2024

Thursday, August 29, 2024

More LIVE horse racing action this weekend as the ITV cameras head to Sandown, Chester and Beverley – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends

3.15 Virgin Bet Chester Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m 6 1/2f ITV

10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Carried 9-5 or less in weight
9/11 – Have 4 or less past wins
9/11 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Won over 1m4f+ in the past
8/11 - Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
5/11 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/11 – Aged 3 years-old
4/11 – Had run at Chester before (2 won)
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/11 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last)

Surewin Best Bet: Caius Chorister
Surewin Danger: Absurde

Beverley Horse Racing Trends

1:30 - William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

13/13 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 - Carried 9st or less in weight
10/13 - Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
10/13 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 - Favourites placed
9/13 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 - Irish bred
5/13 - Winning favourite
4/13 - Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 - Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 - Trained by Karl Burke

Surewin Best Bet: Quietness
Surewin Danger: Walter Hartright

2:05 - William Hill Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

13/13 - Previous winners over 5f
13/13 - Returned 10/1 or shorter
12/13 - Aged 4 or older
12/13 - Rated 100+
11/13 - Aged 5 or older
11/13 - Had won 5+ races before
11/13 - Placed favourites
10/13 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 - Ran at Ascot (5), York (2) or Goodwood (3) last time
8/13 - Had run at the track before
8/13 - Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
4/13 - Winning favourite
3/13 – Trained by Clive Cox (last 3)
2/13 - Ridden by Jamie Spencer
9 of the last 11 winners drawn 7 or lower
6 of the last 10 winners drawn 4 or lower

Surewin Best Bet: Clarendon House
Surewin Danger: Democracy Dilemma

SANDOWN Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 7f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
2/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Drawn in stall 6
2/3 – Carried 9-11 or more in weight
Trainer Michael Herrington has a 67% strike-rate at Sandown
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton is just 3-from-51 with her runners at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is just is just 4-from-43 with his runners at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 22% strike-rate riding at the track

Surewin Best Bet: Lyndon B
Surewin Danger: Star of Orion

2.25 –Sky Bet Atalanta Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m14y ITV

18/22 – Had 3 or more runs that season
17/22 – Winning distance 1 1/2 or less
16/22 – Had won over a mile before
15/22 – Priced 9/2 or shorter
14/22 – Aged 3 years-old
14/22 – Rated between 98 and 108
13/22 – Placed last time out
13/22 – Had won 3 or more times before
13/22 – Had won a Listed or Group class race
8/22 – Winning favourites
7/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Had run at Sandown before
6/22 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
The last 10 winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old

Surewin Best Bet: Tamfana
Surewin Danger: Choisya

3.00 – Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

11/11 – Aged 3, 4 or 5
10/11 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/11 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
9/11 – Top 5 finish last time out
9/11 – Won between 1-4 times before
8/11 – Unplaced favourites
8/11 – Rated between 82-95
5/11 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Had run at the track before
3/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
1/11 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 3
Trainer James Ferguson has a 43% record with his horses at the track
Trainer Peter Chapple-Hyam has a 33% record with his horses at the track
Trainer Simon and Ed Crisford are just 3 from 47 with his horses at the track
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton is just 3 from 51 with his horses at the track

Surewin Best Bet: Wonder Legend
Surewin Danger: Involvement

3.35 –Sky Bet Solario Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f16y ITV

21/22 – Had won at least one race before
20/22 – Never raced at Sandown before
20/22 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
19/22 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
16/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Had 2 or more previous runs
15/22– Won last time out
13/22 – Had won over 7f before
11/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/22 – Won by trainer John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
3/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 7)
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 33% record with this 2 year-olds at the track
The last winners came from stall 5

Surewin Best Bet: Field of Gold
Surewin Danger: Matauri Bay

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